Soccer Picks: Cash In With Mourinho, Gonk, & Chelsea's Misfortune

SBR Staff

Monday, December 7, 2015 5:21 PM GMT

William Hill (SBR rating A) is offering a range of soccer odds for prop bets on Chelsea manager Jose Mourinho and others. What will be their desatiny and how can we profit from it with our soccer picks?

Trends
Chelsea won the Premiership at a canter last season, but have been in dreadful form so far this time around. In 15 games, they have lost eight, drawn three and won just four. It has left them 14th in the table, just two points above the relegation zone and 17 points behind league leaders Leicester. After the crushing 1-0 defeat at home to newly promoted Bournemouth, a dejected Mourinho admitted his team will now struggle to make the top four and thus miss out on the lucrative TV deal that comes with playing in next season’s Champions League. Mourinho has always struggled in his third season in charge at a club and has never made it past three seasons, and punters are starting to bet on whether he will make it to the end of the 2015-16 campaign.

William Hill believes he will make it and has him at -275 to still be in his job at the end of the season, and is offering +200 on owner Roman Abramovich to fire him by then.If Abramovich wanted to get rid of him, he would have to pay Mourinho £30 million ($45 million) in compensation after the Portuguese signed a new four-year deal in the summer. But Abramovich is a multibillionaire and would not balk at that. He took a multimillion pound hit when he sacked Mourinho back in 2007, which was Mourinho’s third season during his first tenure at the club. Mourinho went on to win the Champions League with Inter and enjoy success at Real Madrid before returning to Chelsea. 

He won the Premiership in his second season in charge, with expensive recruits Diego Costa, Nemanja Matic and Cesc Fabregas driving them to the 2014-15 title. But key players last time around have flopped this season, leaving Chelsea in real trouble. 

 

Odds Overview
William Hill has started a book on when Mourinho and Chelsea will part ways:
-120: Still Chelsea manager on January 1, 2017
+300: Gone between January 1, 2015, and the end of the 2015-16 season on May 15
+450: Gone etween May 16, 2016, and August 31, 2016
+450: Gone before the end of 2015
+1600: Gone between September 1, 2016, and December 31, 2016

 

Prop Bets
After Mourinho admitted his team may struggle for fourth, William Hill is also offering +500 on them reaching the top four this season. Chelsea are currently 14 points behind fourth-placed Man Utd. William Hill has +162.5 on Chelsea making the top six, which will be a tough order considering they are eight points behind sixth-placed West Ham and would also have to overhaul a resurgent Liverpool or a strong Tottenham side. Mourinho has been cut to +350 with Betway as the next Premiership manager to be sacked, however you can get odds as high as +800 on this with BetVictor.

That is perhaps reflective of the likelihood of Swansea firing manager Gary Monk, who has presided over a run of just one win in 13 matches that has left the Swans one place and one point behind lowly Chelsea. Monk is -1200 with Bet Victor to be the next Premiership manager to lose his job. Chelsea play Porto on Wednesday and defeat could see them crash out of the Champions League, which would surely shorten the +450 soccer odds available on Mourinho being in a job by the end of 2015.