Soccer Picks: Brazil vs. Uruguay in Confederations Cup

Nila Amerova

Monday, June 24, 2013 7:23 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 24, 2013 7:23 PM UTC

Brazil’s quest for a third straight FIFA Confederations Cup title is set to be tested in the semi-finals against Uruguay. Can Brazil overcome their continental rivals and move into the final as odds makers are predicting they will or will Uruguay deliver the massive upset at the penultimate stage of the competition?

Join us as we breakdown this match up all the while looking for the best odds and angles for profit with our soccer picks in the marketplace.

Uruguay not to be taken lightly

The facts: Uruguay are a good team. They did have a standout World Cup 2010 run and they won the 2011 Copa America – a competition that saw Brazil dumped in the quarterfinals. Moreover, Uruguay emerged out of a tough and competitive Group B (save for the weak link Tahiti) to advance into the semi-finals of this competition, and, as such, they cannot be taken lightly in spite of their disadvantaged soccer odds of +800 to win over Brazil at Bet365. Not when Uruguay boasts some of football’s biggest stars – Diego Forlan and Liverpool striker Luis Suarez, to name a few, as well – the latter of which is one of the most prolific scorers in the game.

Having said that though, since the 2011 Copa America victory Uruguay’s fortunes have gone south. Their World Cup qualifying campaign leaves much to be desired; Oscar Tabarez’s men have dropped five of their last ten games in the run up to Confederations Cup and won only three. And the account they deposited in the group stage of this competition shows exactly why they’ve been struggling so. A frustrating fact actually. When taking all that talent and quality into consideration, they really should be doing better and playing better than they are right now.

Victories over Tahiti and Nigeria assured them a spot in the last four but the latter victory was dubious to say the least. They were only slightly better than Nigeria and were somewhat lucky to win that game. The 2-1 defeat to Spain is, in the eyes of many however the more representative result, at least in terms of what to expect from Uruguay in this mighty clash against Brazil.

Brazil looked very strong in their three group matches, winning them convincingly and by a hefty 9-2 total combined. If that is a sign of things to come, the prognosis is very good particularly when considering how competitive Group A was on paper. Therefore, it’s really no surprise that Brazil now has the market cornered for this semi-final clash at a convincing -300 to win outright and that they are the second favourites to win the title at +138 behind Spain at +110 at Bet365.Brazil looks strong in almost every facet

Coming into the tournament, there were many questions surrounding Brazil, who as hosts of the upcoming 2014 World Cup have to rely on friendly fixtures in order to prepare for the global showpiece. The lead up to Confederations Cup wasn’t exactly convincing with a slew of draws and Scolari and his men were under the media cosh a bit. 

After three impressive accounts, especially their last which was a defining 4-2 victory over Italy – arguably their toughest test of the competition that they passed handsomely – they quelled any lingering doubt. Neymar and Hulk have been by far the best players on the team and the most threatening. The backline has been solid as well and played a huge role in maintaining a clean sheet in their first two fixtures.


Soccer Betting Verdict: Based mainly on the performances of both teams in the group stage, the balance tips in favour of a Brazil win which is trading at -300 at Bet365. The angles for profit in this case can be found in periphery markets such as prop bets. Sportsbooks seem to favour the Over 2.5 goals at -175 and we are siding with them on that score. On the evidence of their group stage matches as well, it would appear Brazil to win comfortably and by a decent margin is a reasonable expectation and that expectation is best reflected in the win margin odds where a Brazil win by 2 goals or 3 goals is trading at +300 and +450 at Bet365, respectively.

Soccer Free Picks: Brazil to win by 3 goals

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