Soccer Picks: Brazil vs. France Exhibition Betting

Nila Amerova

Thursday, June 6, 2013 2:23 PM GMT

Brazil and France are set to do battle on the pitch. Join us as we examine a some friendly football to whet your appetite.


Brazil welcomes France in International Friendly Action

Brazil and France are set to square off in a friendly this weekend and while the match holds little significance in the broad spectrum of International football competition there is still betting value to be had with a veritable buffet of match betting odds already in full swing. 

Mon Dieu, a Big Puppy

Bookmakers send France into this friendly with Brazil as the confirmed underdogs. William Hill trades Les Bleus at a discouraging +400 to win outright while Bet365 trades them at a slightly larger +450 for your sports picks.

Long odds can be tempting for soccer bettors; the natural inclination is to jump on them forthwith as that’s where the money is, really: in predicting the upset. When they are attached to a nation with notable success on the World Cup stage such as France is the pull is even greater. But banking on the upset – in this case a France win – holds value only if there is a probable chance of it actually happening. Otherwise banking on it is wasted money, like throwing water in the ocean. So therefore the only question that begs asking: Is there any value in banking on a France win?

In a word, no. France’s coach, Didier Deschamps is looking ahead to World Cup qualifiers in September and October. His side drew defending World Cup champions Spain and as right now they sit in second place, trailing the Spaniards by a point in Group I with five fixtures left to play, he’s playing it safe.  As well, he’s searching for a new generation of players to inject into the national team. As such, he’s taking advantage of the South American tour to preview some up-and-comers in the game. An inexperienced crop of players, one might add – ten of which have less than 10 international appearances at the senior level under the belt and four that have 30 or more.

Already, this experimental squad has suffered a defeat – a 1-0 defeat to Uruguay in Wednesday’s friendly in Montevideo. Early prognosis for the greenhorns isn’t good. That said, it’s important to add that this latest defeat is an extension of what has been a rather disappointing showing by France overall in friendly action since the culmination of Euro Cup last year. A showing that mustered up a 1-1-3 record – the two other defeats include a 1-0 defeat to Japan and a 2-1 defeat to Germany.

Check out some of Friday's qualifier matches~

Brazil continues to play it safe

Brazil haven’t lost a friendly since a 2-1 defeat at Wembley this year but they haven’t done anything remarkable either although they remain undefeated in five (1-4-0). The lone one-off performance was against Bolivia when they beat their South American counterparts 4-0 on the road. Indeed, Luiz Felipe Scolari and his men are playing it safe.

Can anyone blame them though? After all, as hosts of the fast approaching Confederations Cup and 2014 World Cup, they have automatic entry into both competitions. No need to exert or extend themselves. Scolari is free to fiddle with selections and matchups to his heart’s content.

Recently, the past weekend to be precise, Brazil settled on a 2-2 draw with England in Rio de Janeiro. The draw followed a 2-2 draw with Chile in April. Despite this rather muted effort by Brazil however, odds makers show very little hesitation where they are concerned, installing them as the hot favourites at -175 at William Hill and at an even better - 163 at Bet365 to beat France. The draw, in case you are wondering, can be found hovering between +250 and +280, depending on the sportsbook of choice.

Soccer Betting Verdict: It’s hard to tell what to make of the Brazilian offering thus far. On the other hand, what is certain is that France’s offering leaves something to be desired. As such, the smart play has to be on Brazil. Taking it a step further, backing Brazil to the win because France, given what we’ve seen so far, will be hard pressed to hold them to a draw let alone win surely. 

Soccer Free Tips: Brazil to win 2-0 for your friendlies soccer picks.