Soccer Picks: Borussia Monchengladbach v Schalke 04

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, December 4, 2013 4:40 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 4, 2013 4:40 PM UTC

Borussia M’gladbach take on a resurgent Schalke 04 in week 15 of Bundesliga action. Find out what odds have been released and where the best angles for profit are.

Borussia M’gladbach have big ambitions

Borussia M’gladbach are on a verve and swagger ahead of week 15 of Bundesliga betting, having won five straight in a row since a 1-0 defeat to Hertha BSC on October 19. In fact their positive form extends beyond those recent wins, as they are undefeated in eight of their last ten matches.

One would assume such impressive form, which sees them fourth in the Bundesliga table with an overall 9-1-4 record and 28 points, just three points shy of Borussia Dortmund, would be rewarded substantially in soccer betting markets. Somehow it isn’t. Well, sportsbooks do consider them the favourites but they given they are listed on the short side of even money at +110 to win outright they don’t have this game cornered firmly in their camp in spite of their convincing form.

Now that isn’t necessarily doing a disservice to Borussia M’gladbach but rather recognition of Schalke 04 by odds makers as a credible threat towards taking a result at Mönchengladbach, be it on the draw at +250 at Bet365 or the win at +210.

Schalke 04 showing signs of strain

Schalke 04 are undefeated in their last four domestic matches and are sat in fifth place, just four points adrift of Borussia M’gladbach after a 7-3-4 mark in 14 laps. A win won’t improve their ranking but it will close the gap on their hosts as well as see them stay ahead of Wolfsburg, who are nipping at their heels just a point shy and almost certain bet (tipped at -105 soccer odds on the road) to beat Freiburg at the weekend.

Where Schalke 04 are at the disadvantage is the multiple fronts they’re campaigning on this season, a strain that manifested last week in a Champions League brain cramp in Bucharest and this week in an exit from DFB Pokal on the back of a 3-1 defeat at home to Hoffenheim, a side that has won just three matches so far in Bundesliga.

Staying the course on multiple fronts is trying for any club, even the best. So it’s not so surprising it’s been too much for Schalke 04 and perhaps it’s a blessing in disguise that they have one campaign less to worry about now.

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Soccer Betting Verdict: Given that Schalke 04 are being pulled in several directions, the strain and effort clearly takings its toll. What’s more they are after a defeat in midweek DFB Pokal action. The shine does come off their odds to either win or draw in our opinion. 

Notwithstanding the decision by odds makers to avoid declaring a clear favourite in this match, the best value for your soccer picks has to be backing Borussia M’gladbach. Aside from the obvious home edge, form is simply formidable right now, almost on par with the league’s elite teams and they are deservedly in fourth place.

As if that weren’t enough already, M’gladbach have no other campaigns to worry about this season. Apart from DFB Pokal, which ended before it really got off the ground, they have nothing to contend with but domestics. They are fully invested into their Bundesliga fate therefore, and they go into this match well rested and raring to go. For an additional soccer pick we recommend the Over 2.5 at -163 as both teams have plenty attacking options.

Soccer Free Picks: Borussia M’gladbach to win outright at +110; Over 2.5 at -163
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