Soccer Picks: Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgard

Mike Richardson

Tuesday, October 29, 2013 7:25 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 29, 2013 7:25 PM UTC

Foregone conclusion alert in the German Bundesliga! But don’t worry your Humble handicapper sees ways to make money even with such a one sided encounter as Borussia Dortmund V Stuttgart.

Let’s get the obviousness finished with before I let you know your Humble Handicapper’s top soccer picks. Dortmund will win this game, yes they will, cross my heart etc. etc. If you don’t believe me (why would you not???) just look at what soccer odds the sportsbooks have offered up.

2/7 on a home win, 21/4 on a draw and 11/1 on a Stuttgart win. If you want to gild the lily a little more I can tell you that Dortmund are 9/2 (second favourites) to win the Bundesliga this term while Stuttgart run as high as 500/1 with the sportsbooks. What’s more Dortmund are 1999/1 to finish in the bottom two while Stuttgart are 49/1.

Enough with the wild odds…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

As I said Dortmund will win this match, so it’s a little tricky picking the most profitable soccer odds, but that’s what I'm here for. The sportsbooks oddmakers are expecting an utterly one sided affair with Dortmund winning both halves at 4/7, the game being drawn at the 45 and Dortmund’s at the 90 is at 3/1 and the game going Stuttgart’s way over both halves is at 20/1. But Stuttgart winning both halves is a soccer bet reserved for people who are as daft as next door's cat.

Although, you might think you want to bet on the game ending drawn as four of the last five meetings between these sides have ended level, and if you want to win mega money go for the home side leading at the break before the game ends tied, that’s at 22/1. But my money is not going anywhere near there. Also, Stuttgart have drawn their last three games, they won't draw four in a row. Dortmund have won three games on the bounce and will make it four.

Did I mention that Dortmund will win?

These sides were separated by 23 points last season; Dortmund had a goal difference of +39 while Stuttgart had -18. Dortmund have only conceded 2 goals in their last three games and four in their last five while  Stuttgart have only scored more than one goal only once in their last five.

These sides have seen 15 goals in their last two games between them, that averages out at almost four goals per game so back the match ending Over 2.5 goals at 2/5, that’s a safe bet.

But as Stuttgart have only scored more than one goal once in their last five outings bet accordingly. Start picking the correct score at 2-1, and 3-0 but don’t shy away from 3-1 either.

Soccer Pick: Dortmund win (natch) at 3-1, available at 10/1 with Ladbrokes.

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