Soccer Picks: Borussia Dortmund vs. Nurnberg

Mike Richardson

Thursday, February 27, 2014 7:43 PM GMT

Let’s go over to Germany and win some money. The Bundesliga have be tied up already but that doesn’t mean that there isn’t $$$$$ available if you know which individual games to bet on and your Humble Handicapper certainly does. Borussia Dortmund V Nurnberg is the latest Germanic money spinner to catch my eye!

Time is short as the KO whistle approaches in this German clash so without any further ado let’s take a look at the basics for this match. Dortmund winning is at best soccer odds of 2/9, a draw is the middle ground at 4/1 and Nurnberg are the clear underdogs at 11/1.

You may wonder why there is such a gulf in Dortmund’s favour, but it’s clear to see if you look at the table. Dortmund are one of just four teams on 40 plus points and are currently sitting 3rd in the league. They have no chance of winning the league this term, that already belongs to Bayern Munich who have a 19 point league on second place Leverkusen and most sensible bookies have stopped taking bets on them winning it.

Dortmund still have something to play for as they are one point behind Leverkusen and just one point ahead of Schalke.

For the record

To give you an idea of how things stand beyond the top of the table Dortmund are the bookies favourite to win the (second place) (aka without Bayern Munich) Bundesliga 2013-14 at best soccer odds of 4/6, while Leverkusen are 7/2 and Schalke are 9/2.

By comparison Nurnberg are 23/2 to finish in the bottom two in the Bundesliga this term

Back to this match

Dortmund winning both halves is at best soccer odds of 4/6 (a clear favourite) while Draw/Dortmund is at 15/4 and a pair of draws is at a big fat 10/1. However, your Humble Handicapper suggests you go no crazier than those draws in your soccer picks (and even then seek medical help) because Dortmund winning on the 45 and then the game ending drawn is at a massive 22/1, but simply WON’T happen.

In case this isn’t clear enough for you, Nurnberg freaking the first half and going in ahead (before Dortmund take all three points) at the 90 minute mark is at 24/1. And Nurnberg winning come the 90 (after the game being drawn on the 45) is a silly 25/1.

Dortmund are going to win this one.

The last game ended drawn at 1-1 but I’m putting that down to a freak of nature and the bookies seem to agree as a reapeat of that score is at best soccer odds of 13/1. The time before that was a lot more likely to be repeated as it was a 3-1 victory for Dortmund, available this time round at just 10/1. And do I need to remind you that Dortmund have beaten Nurnberg in eight of their last nine league meetings.

The last time that Nurnberg came out on top was a shocking 4-2 home win back in July 2012, and when I tell you that a repeat of that score is available at 375/1 you’ll see how likely that is. By comparison Dortmund winning 8-0 is available at “just” 150/1.

Both teams may have won four of their last five games, but Dortmund are just better.

Prediction: Dortmund win 3-0 available at best soccer odds of 19/2 with BetVictor.

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