Soccer Picks: Borussia Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt

Mike Richardson

Thursday, August 29, 2013 6:06 PM GMT

There’s money in them thar German games! And if you follow your Humble Handicapper’s advice, you can strike it rich when Frankfurt take on Dortmund this week!


At this stage in the season last year, Frankfurt were sitting in second place position somewhere they didn't go any higher than but considering that Bayern Munich occupied the top spot in the German top flight from the first game to the last they couldn't have done much better. Frankfurt did dip as low as fifth halfway through the season then flirted with fourth in December before ending the season on a perfectly respectable sixth. 

Enough with this time last season…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Taking a fresh look at the last five games Frankfurt have two wins two defeats and a draw to their tally. Frankfurt also have the home advantage, something that they will be very pleased about as the last two times they took a trip to Dortmund, they conceded three goals and left the ground pointless.

The most recent instance of that ended 3-0 to Dortmund. Something offered up this time around at 13/1 odds; while the 3-1 that happened back in May 2011 is at 12/1.

You'd have to go back to December 2010 to find a game where Frankfurt came out on top and that was a mere 1-0 (with home advantage). A repeat of that score in this game is offered up at 22/1.

If you go all the way back in time to 2010, you'd find Dortmund at home being beaten by Frankfurt 3-2 and that result is at a massive 40/1 this time around; a result which I certainly wouldn't suggest you bet on.

No draws today

I think this game will have a clear winner as in four of the last five meetings between these two sides one side has come out clearly on top. I would also back there being plenty of goals, as in the last five meetings between these two sides there have been 19 goals, which is almost an average of four goals per game! And if that sort of maths tickles you, I'd say stay away from the game ending 2-2 at 18/1 odds as these games tend not to be drawn. What's more telling is the fact that, if you take out the one oddity of a low-scoring game after those last five matches (which was a 1-0 back in December 2010), you'd see 18 goals, which is more like 4.5 goals per game. Therefore, I think that a 3-1 or even a 3-2 might be worth a little more, so keep that in mind when making your soccer picks.

Basics

A Dortmund win is at 1/2 in the soccer betting odds, a draw is at 10/3 and a Frankfurt win is at 5/1. That speaks volumes, don’t you think?

Dortmund are certainly on form at present, scoring seven goals in their last three league games and seven goals in the previous two matches before the league kicked off.

In all of those five, they have only conceded three goals. But despite all the talk about this game seeing lots of goals, I think it will be pretty much a one-sided encounter; especially as Frankfurt recently let six goals in when they played against Hertha Berlin.

So, long story short (which is what you're after here), Dortmund will win this game and win comfortably, so add them to your sports picks.

[gameodds]11/243528/?r3=349-19/us&r-1=349-19/us[/gameodds]

Soccer Pick: Dortmund wins 2-0. Available at 8/1 odds at William Hill

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