Soccer Picks: Bologna vs. Juventus

Mike Richardson

Thursday, March 14, 2013 6:16 PM GMT

There is a classic clash brewing up when Bologna host Juventus, and your Humble Handicapper sees plenty to bet on in this Italian Serie A encounter.


The most significant thing to consider before you start betting on this much is the state of the table in Italy. Juventus are sitting pretty pretty way out in front on 62 points. Their nearest competitions are nine points behind, and that's Napoli. The Italian league leaders have a very tasty record this term, having won 11 games drawn two and have lost just two at home. However this game against Bologna will be held away from home and Juventus on their travels have recorded eight victories and three draws and two defeats in 13 games. Oh and Juventus are 1/10 to win Serie A with betfair.

Enough with the black smoke…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

While on the road Juventus have scored 24 goals and conceded eleven, that’s just the sort of goal difference should work out in a 2-1 away victory something which is offered up by the bookmakers at 6/1 soccer betting odds.

By comparison Bologna has won just six of the 14 home games in the season. They managed five draws and just three defeats so maybe have a bet on a draw, something offered up at 11/4. It is worth a little bet with the sportsbooks and if you're that way inclined and considering that they've scored 27 goals at home and Juventus have scored 24 goals away from home, you get an even 1-1 6/1 or 2-2 at 14/1.

However your Humble Handicapper doesn't think this game is going to be a draw.

Looking at the head to head encounters between these two sides Juventus have come out on top in two of the last four games and you'd have to go all the way back to February 2011 to find a Bologna win. Also somewhat interestingly; that’s the only time that we've seen an away winner in the last four meetings, there's been two wins and two draws the game has gone in favour of the home side. However I think that the best Bologna can hope for in this game is a draw.

[gameodds]10/221718/169-43-1096-349/us[/gameodds]

When we've seen a clear winner (in the last four) it has been Juventus and it's been by the same score, 2-1 see above.

If you want to look at things at a slightly different way Juventus are undefeated in their last four games. Bologna are on a three game winning streak which sends out confusing statistics. Also Bologna are undefeated in their last three home games with two victories and one draw. What's more Juventus failed to win in either of their last two away games with one draw and one defeat.

However I think that Juventus just have more class than Bologna and that will be borne out by this game. Take Juventus for your soccer picks here.

Free Soccer Picks: Juventus win 2-0 available at 13/2 with bet365.