Soccer Picks Bet Napoli over Cagliari

Nila Amerova

Friday, December 20, 2013 8:08 PM GMT

Serie A betting is in full swing at the weekend with a whole slew of standout matches for soccer bettors to spot. Here’s a primer on the tilt between Cagliari and Napoli, a highly anticipated clash despite the lopsided soccer odds. 

Napoli in-form

Napoli descend on Cagliari as the sportsbook favourites to win outright despite being installed just shy of even money at +105 to win outright at Bet365. Recent form has been on the up with big wins over Arsenal in Champions League and an impressive 4-2 wins over both Lazio and Internazionale in week 16 of Serie A betting. 

Napoli are riding a four-game unbeaten streak across all competitions with three wins and a draw. Napoli, currently sat third in the league table, boast an overall 11-2-3 mark through 16 laps and 35 points. They are three points adrift of Roma in the table, rival threats that have slowed down since their sensational start on the season but who remain undefeated yet, and they are eight points shy of Juventus sat pretty atop the table.

If Napoli are to make good on their title credentials this season they can’t afford to let up, not when the Juventus juggernaut is pressing forward with verve and swagger on the back of an eight-game winning streak. Therefore, in many ways, this is a must win game over Cagliari.

Cagliari on good form too

Although sportsbooks install Cagliari as the home underdogs for this pivotal clash, solid form augurs well towards turning the soccer odds in their favour. Listed at as the +250 underdogs at Bet365, Cagliari are riding a five-game unbeaten streak, which includes two wins and three draws. Most impressively, they held Roma to a scoreless draw in the nation’s capital – talk about an eyebrow raiser.

Cagliari are currently 12th in the table following a 4-7-5 mark and 19 points. What is immediately apparent is that Cagliari are a much better home team than they are a road team. At home, they are 4-3-1 this season, which accounts for the bulk of their positive results this season and reveals just one lone defeat – a surprising 3-0 defeat to bottom dwelling Bologna.

Let other bettors know your thoughts

on SBR's Soccer Betting Forum!

Cagliari vs. Napoli Betting Tips and Picks:

On balance, Napoli should win this match and that makes them the value soccer pick at +105 to win outright at Bet36. Simply put, Napoli have more depth and talent than Cagliari have and so they should prove too much for the hosts.

Rafa Benitez’s side has all the momentum right now; having taken seven points from their last three games and dropping a statement making win over Arsenal, despite being eliminated from Europe’s top-flight league.

Cagliari’s home form bodes well for a positive result against Napoli, although beating the Southern Italians is easier said than done. If you are looking to back the home side, the draw at +240 would appear to be the more credible outcome seeing that they accomplished the same mark against Roma and Parma in recent weeks. But even that is a long shot soccer pick in our opinion.

Finally, where Napoli have the decided edge over Cagliari, and which underscores their soccer odds to win this game, is firepower. Napoli have scored a dizzying 35 goals through 16 games and conceded 19. Cagliari meanwhile have contributed 17 goals and conceded 23 goals. It’s obvious that Cagliari’s defence will be sorely tested by Napoli’s offense, a test that is hard to imagine they would pass with flying colours. Therefore the Over 2.5 at -118 appears to be the smart soccer pick for this clash over and above the initial soccer pick for Napoli to win outright.

Soccer Free Picks: Napoli to win outright at +105; Over 2.5 at -118 [/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":252188, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]