Soccer Picks bet Juventus to win vs. Sampdoria

Nila Amerova

Tuesday, January 14, 2014 8:44 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jan. 14, 2014 8:44 PM GMT

Serie A betting enters round 20 at the weekend and on the menu is the intriguing tilt between league-leading Juventus and Sampdoria. Join us as we search for value soccer picks in Italy’s top-flight action.

Juventus juggernaut

Juventus enter Serie A week 20 on a verve and swagger, winning 11 games on the trot – a run of form that includes eight clean sheets in a row; nine altogether. That Juventus are the runaway favourites at -600 to win outright over Sampdoria on Saturday is par for the course. What’s more, they are the popular soccer pick as one might expect.

Italy’s top flight is Juventus’ personal playground and that fact doesn’t look to change with the Turin giants cornering the futures market at -1000 to win the Scudetto this season. As well, Carlos Tevez is listed as the favourite at +275 to emerge as the league’s top scorer by season end.

Juventus boast a nigh perfect 17-1-1 record through 19 rounds and 52 points. Home form has been flawless however, a perfect 9-0-0 to date. What’s even more impressive about their home form is the fact that they’ve conceded only four goals through nine matches all the while firing at all cylinders and scoring 26.

Juventus are coming off a 4-1 routing of Cagliari at the weekend, marking the third game in their last five in which they scored four goals. Moreover, they haven’t scored less than three goals during this give-game stretch.

Odds stacked against Sampdoria

Sportsbooks stack the odds against Sampdoria significantly. Listed at outrageous +1600 soccer odds to win outright, a win by Sampdoria in Turin is a pipedream, never mind an upset. Even the draw at +550 is a long shot bet.

Sampdoria rank a modest 12th in Serie A but with thirty points separating them and Juventus at the top of the table, the quality and depth couldn’t be more glaring; hence the appropriate sportsbook odds on this clash.

Sampdoria are 5-6-8 to date with 21 points, a mark that includes a subpar road record of 2-3-4. What’s particularly worrisome ahead of their date with Juventus is their dodgy defence that has allowed 27 goals to date, five more than offense has been able to net. The fear that the goals against tally will swell in Turin is real.

That said Sampdoria are after a 3-0 victory over Udinese, their third victory in five games both home and away and third clean sheet over the same period. They are 3-1-1 in their last five, which is an encouraging record ahead of week 20 Serie A betting.

This doesn’t mean that Sampdoria have a reasonable shot at the win. As established by bookies it’s a long shot soccer pick, one that would send seismic shockwaves through soccer betting markets if it actually came to fruition. What their positive form does suggest however is that this match could be closer than the sportsbooks would have you believe and Sampdoria could deposit a respectable performance with a goal (or two) against the Italian standard.

Soccer Betting Verdict: By all accounts, this is a home banker. Juventus is the correct soccer pick at -600 to win outright. That said soccer bettors should consider other soccer picks for this match if they hope to pad their pockets. So towards that end, here are a few we’ve sifted through and feel offer good angles for profit: the Over 2.5 at -175 and either Juventus to win both halves at -200 or the draw-Juventus result at +260. Juventus to win by 3 goals at +375 soccer odds also seems to be a good option given that that has been a profitable soccer pick in their last four games.

Soccer Free Picks: Juventus to win outright at -600; Over 2.5 at -175

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