Soccer Picks: Bet Bayern Munich to Notch Their Ninth Victory Over Werder Bremen

Kevin Stott

Thursday, March 12, 2015 7:17 PM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 12, 2015 7:17 PM UTC

Werder Bremen’s defense is hurting its chances of playing UEFA football next season, and with defending Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich in town Saturday, Die Werderaner may want to flee to Switzerland or something.

Odds Overview
Werder Bremen vs. Bayern Munich, Saturday 14:30 (GOL TV USA, Fubo TV, MyGermanTV+ (US); 10:30 a.m. ET/7:30 a.m. PT): League leaders Bayern Munich (19-4-1, 66 GF-11 GA) head to Bremen on Saturday to face 8th-place Werder Bremen (9-6-9, 40 GF-49 GA) in this Week 25 Fußball-Bundesliga match between one side which has pretty much wrapped up another league title and the other battling to stay in contention for a UEFA Europa League spot next season, sitting 5 points off the pace (38 points, 6th-place FC Augsburg) with 33 points (Werder Bremen), and currently battling some pretty nasty Defensive Demons.

Bundesliga odds makers have European heavyweights Bayern Munich -400 favorites here, with hosts Werder Bremen massive +1100 home underdogs and the Draw priced at +500 (bet365) in the Three-Way (Winner) marketplace. The Total Goals is in this match is 3½ Under -137 (Over +100, bet365) while the Both Teams To Score odds (Yes) are -125 (No -105, Ladbrokes). 

Some Asian Handicap odds for this match from mighty Bayern Munich’s POV: Bayern Munich -1 -285; Bayern Munich -1.5 -121; Bayern Munich -2 +135; Bayern Munich -2.5 +185; Bayern Munich -3 +340; Bayern Munich -3.5 +425 (bet365). And, some other props: Team To Score First: Bayern Munich -500, Werder Bremen +333, No Goal +2000 (bet365); and, Winning Margin: Bayern Munich by 1 +225;  Bayern Munich by 2 +333; Bayern Munich by 3 +450; Bayern Munich by 4 or More +375; Werder Bremen by 1 +1200; Werder Bremen by 2 +4000  (bet365).


FC Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich (8-3-1 Away, 26 GF-7 GA) has been rolling opponents and playing lock-down defense like they like to do, and the Bavarians have put themselves in a position where they can (and pretty much already have) win Fußball-Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal (the German Cup) and maybe even the UEFA Champions League. This club is a Mercedes-Benz. Manager Pep Guardiola has been using his deep and talented roster nicely this calendar year, utilizing a nice blend of established veterans and some younger players when needed. And, as usual, GK Manuel Neuer is again showing why he is in the Top 2 goalkeepers in the entire game. On Wednesday in Leg 2 of its Champions League series against Shakhtar Donetsk, Bayern Munich won 7-0 at Allianz Arena in Munich to move on to the tournament’s Quarterfinals. And in their last Bundesliga game, Bayern won 3-1 at Hannover 96 on last Saturday, so, this a team scoring at will and not letting anyone get beyond the 1-goal mark...per usual.

Here at Bremen, Bayern should roll to an easy victory, despite the site, with striker Robert Lewandowski (11 goals, Anytime Goalscorer -120, bet365), winger Arjen Robben (17 goals, -115 (BetVictor), Thomas Müller (11 goals, -110), Mario Götze (9 goals, +120) and Franck Ribéry (5 goals, +114, BetVictor) probably accounting for 3-4 of Bayern’s scores and Bastian Schweinsteiger (2 goals, +260), Xabi Alonso (2 goals, +365, BetVictor), Philipp Lahm (2 goals, +650), Sebastian Rode (+500), David Alaba (+375), Juan Bernat (+375) and possibly even Patrick Weihrauch (+140) and/or Simon Kurt (+300) all combining for a couple more.

Seldom can one predict an anticipated scoreline of around 4-0 to 6-0, but this is one of those rare occasions—with a team with the most (17,989) and most precise (87.4%) passing game in Germany’s top flight against the league’s most porous defense—where the wise punter could probably make a little fairly easy money to start his or her Saturday off right with a couple of decent straight bets on machine-like Bayern Munich—which has scored 16 goals from Dead Ball situations—from the Asian Handicap marketplace. Get some.


SV Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen (6-3-3 Home, 23 GF-18 GA) is still in the thick of the Bundesliga race for a UEFA Europa League spot, but unless GK Raphael Wolf and Die Werderaner can tighten up things defensively at Weserstadion, new Manager Viktor Skrypnyk is going to be a hero. But, for now, Bremen is tied with 9th-place Eintracht Frankfurt in allowing the most GA (49) in Fußball-Bundesliga, and Die Werderaner has one of the worst gpg Allowed averages of all clubs now playing football in Europe. Holes everywhere. Offensively, the sometimes also-nicknamed Grün-Weißen (Green-Whites) employ a 4-4-2 Diamond midfield, and although it has helped put 40 goals up on the scoreboard through 25 weeks of play, some of the big gaps in the midfield have obviously led to 49 goals the other way, a decent number of them probably coming on the counterattack.
Here at Home at Weserstadion on the north banks of the Weser River in Bremen,25-year-old argentinian striker Franco Di Santo (12 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +310, bet365), Zlatko Junuzovic (5 goals, +650), Fin bartels (4 goals, +500), Levin Öztunali (+1200), Clemens Fritz (+1600) and Sebastian Prödl (2 goals, +2000) for some offense, but against Bayern’s Back Four and Neuer, scoring here may only be a weekend dream, even on home soil with a chance to pick up the club’s 500th career win in Bundesliga play at Weserstadion. Maybe next time Grün-Weißen. Bayern is not the type of team to try to get win #500 on this millennium.


Best Betting Approaches and Trends
Bayern Munich is 46-25-26 (164 GF-119 GA) overall against Werder Bremen Munich in Fußball-Bundesliga and 15-14-19 (64 GF-66 GA) here at Weserstadion in league play versus Die Werderaner. When these two met in Week 8 this season at the Allianz Arena, the Bavarian hosts popped a 6-spot on Die Werderaner (winning 6-0), and, in this fixture last year in Bremen, Bayern won 7-0, so, that’s that, beer breath. 13-0 over the L2. And it probably could have been worse when you see scores like that. Murder by numbers, 1, 2, 3. These Bayern boys will probably go over the Total 3½ goals by themselves the way they are playing and with that aforementioned depth, players will want to strut their stuff when they do finally get their precious minutes from Guardiola.

Bayern Munich has defeated Werder Bremen 8 straight times in Bundesliga play, and, in the L4, the Bavarians have won by scores of 6-0, 5-2, 7-0 and 6-1 for a cumalitive tally of 24-3. 24-3, man. And Bayern has scored at least 2 goals in all 4 of those fixtures by Halftime. Recent complete domination with Bayern Munich going over the Total themselves (6, 5, 7, 6) in those L4. So, there’s your handicap in a nutshell, take Bayern with your soccer picks. Best of Luck.

Predicted Final Score:  Werder Bremen 0 Bayern Munich 5
Bundesliga Picks:  Bayern Munich -3 +340, Over 3½ +100 (bet365)

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