Soccer Picks: Bayern Munich vs Hertha BSC

Nila Amerova

Thursday, October 24, 2013 7:31 PM GMT

A big clash between top of the league Bayern Munich and fourth place Hertha BSC is on the cards at the weekend. Join us as we breakdown this matchup complete with odds and free soccer picks.

Betting on the winner

Bayern Munich, as expected, are soaring high in Bundesliga this season, having maintained an undefeated record through nine rounds with seven wins and two draws. This weekend they’ll put their solid start to the season under new coach Pep Guardiola on the line when they take on surprise package Hertha BSC, currently fourth in the table on the back of a 4-3-2 record.

To look at the sports betting odds market on this match-up, you won’t get a sense of two ‘big four’ clubs colliding. On the contrary, the way the odds are set is akin to a big club taking on a lightweight – a complete no hoper. A quintessential long shot bet.

Bayern Munich are  set at jaw-dropping -1000 soccer odds to win outright at Bet365 while Hertha BSC are listed at a staggering +2000 soccer odds to mastermind the upset win and even the draw is without their reach at +800.

It’s not just a case of sportsbooks not buying what Hertha is selling right now, refusing to acknowledge their top four spot in the table. There is a big gap in quality and depth between the top three and the rest of the field in Bundesliga action, evinced by an almost ten-point difference after just nine rounds of domestic action.

As well, one has to consider the fact that Hertha are yet to win a game on the road (0-3-1). To do so against top of the league Bayern Munich when they’ve failed elsewhere is a pipedream only the most diehard Hertha fan would entertain. Why they met with defeat at Wolfsburg (now ninth) and a draw against Hannover 96 (now seventh) and only managed draws against bottom-straggles Nurnberg (16th) and Freiburg (17th).

Put all that against the home side’s form, which includes a five-game winning streak at the Arena, three of which were clean sheets and the last of which was a 4-1 routing of Mainz 05, and you get the impression of a team brimming with confidence and consistency. Indeed, it would take something out-of-this-world for Hertha BSC to traipse into the Arena and avoid anything other than a defeat.

Soccer Free Picks: Bayern Munich to win outright at -1000

Other betting markets for Bayern Munich vs. Hertha BSC

Clearly, betting on the moneyline odds here isn’t going to offer any value; that is if you are betting on a Bayern Munich win, of course. Betting on a Hertha BSC win, at seductive +2000 odds, is another matter entirely but the probability of that pick actually paying out is slim to none. Of course, crazy things do happen on occasion and, well, as the saying goes, never say never...

In any event, the only logical play here is Bayern Munich and towards that end, we’ve scoured the market for additional value picks for you to consider such as the double result where Bayern wins both halves, which is at -275 and is a good pick to nail down. As well as the Over 2.5 at -333 in the game totals market. Bayern to score more than 2.5 goals is listed at 1.925 at Bet365 and given their firepower and the fact that they average about 2.1 goals per game we feel that is another excellent option for your soccer picks.

Bonus Soccer Picks: Bayern Munich to win by 2 goals at +333 and Over 2.5 at -333

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