Soccer Picks: Bayern Munich vs. Augsburg

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, November 6, 2013 8:39 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2013 8:39 PM GMT

Following a successful turn in midweek Champions League, Bayern Munich look ahead to domestic commitments on the weekend, with a tilt against Augsburg at the Allianz Arena that sportsbooks are tipping as a foregone conclusion. If so, where can we find the value soccer picks?

Bayern Munich runaway favourites

Bayern Munich must have taken pity on hapless minnows Viktoria Plzen (or couldn’t have been bothered to muster up too much effort?) as they dealt them a modest 1-0 defeat before their fans at Doosan Arena. A damn sight more respectable than their 5-0 away defeat of two weeks ago, which surely the Czechs appreciated, not so much soccer bettors who, not unlike odds makers, expected Bayern Munich to runaway convincing winners and cash in on value soccer picks.

The goal was all Bayern needed really in the end to secure victory despite a valiant effort by Plzen and, thereby, rubber-stamp their progress into the knockout stages. Perhaps, the Bavarians felt there was no need to pour salt on the wound. The Czech’s hope for a berth in European competition are fading quickly – Manchester City also advanced into the knockout stages following their 5-2 win over CSKA Moskva on match day 4, and with the Russians in pole position for a third place finish and automatic entry into Europa League – it’s almost safe to assume they’re done and done.

In any event, Bayern Munich maintain their unbeaten record on the season across all competitions and extend their winning streak to five in a row since a 1-1 draw to Bayer Leverkusen in early October. A run of form earning them tremendous soccer odds of -800 to win outright over Augsburg at the weekend.

Speaking of their visitors, Augsburg are listed as the quintessential long shot soccer pick at hallucinatory +1800 soccer odds to win outright, something only the most ardent loyalist would contemplate shading. Even the draw is a large +700 bet that has little to no chance of coming though.

It’s best not to be too dismissive because nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, so, in the spirit of equal opportunity, here is a little background to Augsburg: they are sat in 13th spot, up two ladder rungs from 15th following a victory over Mainz 05, a 2-1 home win that snapped a three-game losing streak in Bundesliga.

Overall, they are 4-1-6 on the season ahead of week 12, which includes a 1-0-4 mark on the road. Most recently, they lost 2-1 to Bayer Leverkusen and 4-1 to Schalke on the road – two clubs that are bidding for a top-four finish this season, making them notionally comparable to Bayern Munich; that is, if we we’re to be generous but we all know Pep’s men are in a league of their own.

Bayern Munich vs. Augsburg betting tips and picks

If Augsburg were to come through on their off-the-rector-scale +1800 soccer odds it would send seismic shockwaves through sportsbooks around the world and those tremors would be felt for a long time afterwards, make no mistake – not to mention, it would send Bayern Munich fans into apoplectic disbelief, if nothing else.

In the spirit of competition and parity in Bundesliga, seeing the Bavarians dealt with a comeuppance would be appealing to just about everybody not a Bayern Munich fan and particularly to Borussia Dortmund fans who must be exhausted by the effort it takes to keep up with their rivals. Besides, nobody really wants a one-horse race to the title. It’s boring. Does a disservice to the rest of the field, making them look worse then they probably really are. Yet, as appealing a notion an upset is, chances Augsburg would actually come through for soccer bettors is really slim to none. It’s not a sports pick we can recommend with any conviction.

Bayern Munich to win outright is after all the only sound recommendation. But it’s not going to pad your pocket. So in an effort to add value to a Bayern win, we recommend an Over 2.5 at -300 because three of their last four domestics went over 2.5. It’s also worth pointing out that bookies favour the 3-0 result the best, and at +600 at Bet365, the price is lower than odds for a draw. Finally, a bonus soccer pick to consider is Bayern Munich to win both halves at -250.

Soccer Free Picks: Bayern Munich to win outright at -800; Over 2.5 at -300

Bonus Free Picks: Bayern to win both halves at -250

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