Soccer Picks: Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad

Nila Amerova

Tuesday, February 4, 2014 8:38 PM GMT

Barcelona appear to have a straightforward semi-final tilt with Real Sociedad in Copa del Rey action, if the odds were any indication. So will Barcelona come through as the heavy favourites or can Real Sociedad mastermind the huge upset?

Barcelona hot favourites across the board

Barcelona have the Copa del Rey betting market cornered for their clash with Real Sociedad; they are the prohibitive favourites at -900 to win the first leg at Camp Nou on Wednesday. As well they are the runaway favourites at -1200 soccer odds to qualify for the final at Real Sociedad’s expense.

If all goes to plan – that is, according to soccer betting markets that tip both Barcelona and Real Madrid as the favourites to advance from their respective semi-final ties – Barcelona have the edge in the overall futures betting markets to win it all. They are the +100 favourites while Real Madrid are deemed the second overall favourites at +175 at Bet365.

Except the thing is Barcelona are after a shocker in week 22 La Liga betting, succumbing to a 3-2 defeat at home to Valencia – a result that few expected indeed. In fact, the defeat marked their first home defeat of the season.

Can Real Sociedad capitalise on that recent shocker at Camp Nou? Certainly, Valencia proved Barcelona were beatable after all on their precious grounds and that could go some way towards how they decide to approach this clash.

This is easier said than done, of course. Obviously, odds makers haven’t taken stock of Barcelona’s defeat at all in this match. What they’ve paid attention to however is Atleti’s 4-0 routing of Real Sociedad at the weekend.

If there were a match indicative of what is in store, it’s more likely than not the latter. As such, sportsbooks correctly list Real Sociedad as the massive underdogs at +2200 to win outright in the first leg. As far as futures odds go, they are the +700 long shots to qualify for the final and the whopping +4000 long shots to win the competition outright.

Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad betting tips and picks:

This is a complete and utter mismatch on paper. By and large, Real Sociedad have come undone against top opposition in both domestic and European action this season. If we were to just focus on their last three meetings with the top tandem of Atletico, Barcelona and Real Madrid then the narrative isn’t extremely discouraging. Real Sociedad have a combined score of 2-13 against the three – the worst defeat of the lot was a 5-1 defeat at the Bernabéu.

Taking a page from those results, expecting Real Sociedad to come away with any result at Camp Nou is a veritable pipedream, which if by some miracle actually does happen will rock Spanish football betting markets across the board.  A bet not for the fainthearted at all.

Established order and the rule of precedence dictates that backing Barcelona is the smart soccer pick in this match. But you’ll need to add additional bets to find angles for profit, such as the Over 2.5 at -400 and Barcelona on the handicap at -2, -110.

Recommended Soccer Free Picks: Barcelona to win outright at -900; Over 2.5 at -400 and Barcelona on the handicap at -2, -110.