Soccer Picks: Barcelona vs. Real Madrid

Mike Richardson

Monday, February 25, 2013 7:58 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 25, 2013 7:58 PM UTC

It’s almost 111 years since the first El Clásico and despite the fact that Barcelona are pretty much a dead cert for the league this year, Real Madrid will fancy their chances for the Copa Del Rey when they meet on Tuesday night in their semi-final second leg.

Tuesday night sees Barcelona hosts real Madrid in the second (and final) leg of the semi-final in the Copa Del Rey at Camp Nou. It's a massive game as it is arguably Real’s best chance of silverware this season and, as they will have to except to be handing over the league Trophy to Barcelona, a cup victory over their rivals will give their fans plenty to brag about.

Enough with the bragging rights…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Looking at purely Copa del Rey matches Madrid have 10 victories, there have been seven draws and Barcelona have won 14 times. That is reasonably heavily favoured in Barcelona's favour although the actual goals scored is a lot closer with Real Madrid scoring 59 and Barcelona scoring 61, in these 31 matches. You might want to invest in a drawer which is at 3/1 with Paddy Power, but I'm feeling that this game will see a clear winner. Even though the last two games between these sideshave been draws, 1-1 and 2-2. For the record 2-2 is offered up on most soccer odds boards at 12/1. The two games before that both went for the home side, Real wining 2-1 and Barca winning 3-2.

The bookies think this is going to be a close affair as the shortest odds seem to be on either Barcelona winning 2-1 or the game ending level at 1-1 both around 7/1 or 15/2. However what is a bit of clear steer to what will happen on Tuesday night is the fact that the sportsbooks have Barcelona qualifying for the final at 2/5 while Real Madrid are at 7/4.

Barcelona are the bookmakers favourites to win this competition at 7/10 while second place is the “other” Madrid (Atlético) , who are at 3/1 and it’s Real Madrid who are looking like third place Charlies.

Who to bet on

Barcelona are facing Real Madrid for the 224th time in all competitions. The Catalans have 87 wins to Real's 88. Obviously the rest are draws. The Castilian giants have won just one of their last nine Liga encounters with Barcelona (W1, D2, L6) and the last meeting was that 1-1 Copa Del Rey draw back in January.

The Blaugrana ran out 4-3 aggregate winners in last season's Copa del Rey semi-final against Blancos, that would require this game to end 3-2, something offered up at 13/1. Madrid winning by the same sky scoreline runs as high as 33/1 which tells you about the difference between the two teams.

Last time they met at Camp Nou Oct 2012 the game ended 2-2, which would see Madrid through on away goals, but I don’t fancy a repeat.

If anyone can Barca can

Jose Mourinho's record against Barcelona with Chelsea, Inter and Real Madrid is W6, D9, L10 and the 10 defeats the Special One has suffered against Barca are the most against any club in his managerial career. 

The last away win was Real 2-1 back in April 2012, so I'm going to add a home victory to my soccer picks; think it will be a comfortable one.

Soccer Picks & Prediction: Barcelona win 3-1 available at 11/1 with Stan James.

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