Soccer Picks: Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Tips & Odds

Nila Amerova

Tuesday, October 22, 2013 7:42 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 22, 2013 7:42 PM UTC

Spanish giants Barcelona and Real Madrid are set to collide in week 10 of Primera Division for another El Clasico instalment for soccer bettors to sink their teeth into. Join us as we breakdown this notorious matchup and deliver our value picks for your consideration.

Barcelona leads the league

Although Barcelona lead the Spanish League they dropped points in week 9 (as did Atletico Madrid), effectively opening the door for third placed Real Madrid to close the gap in the table.

Barcelona (8-1-0) currently top the table with 22 points, but a surprise scoreless draw to Osasuna (currently earmarked for relegation in 18th place) was costly in week 9 as it reignited the expected three-horse race to the title; a race that bookies firmly corner in Barcelona’s camp on -225 odds at Bet365 but that could see interesting developments over the next few weeks at least as Real Madrid +225 and Atletico Madrid +1400 pile on the pressure.

It should also be noted that this is a big week for Barcelona with a Champions League clash against AC Milan on Tuesday before their date with perennial title threats Real Madrid at the weekend. It remains to be seen whether there will be any spill over – positive or negative – for the Catalan giants.

Real Madrid closing the gap

Real Madrid recorded a crucial win in week 9 to close the gap on the pace-setting pair of Barcelona and Atletico Madrid. They beat Malaga 2-0 to extend their winning form in domestic action to two in a row and improved their record on the season to 7-1-1 overall.

Real Madrid faces a tough week as well with Juventus slated for mid-week Champions League action before their date with Barcelona at Camp Nou at the weekend.

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid preview and picks

There is no need to wax lyrical about Barcelona or Real Madrid. That they are Spanish giants and their matches are dubbed El Clasico’s, says it all. So let’s just get to the nitty, gritty shall we.

As far as sportsbooks are concerned, Barcelona are the runaway favourites to win this match, listed at solid -125 odds to win outright at Bet365. Real Madrid by contrast, despite their undeniable quality and depth, are tipped as the severe underdogs at +333 to win outright. The draw is placed just shorter at +275.

The market tell is clear: Barcelona is expected to win. Hence, nobody can argue if you decide to back the odds favorites with your sports picks in Spanish football. They are undefeated this season and have home advantage for this affair – two very good reasons to back them to win.

Still Barcelona struggled against Real Madrid last season despite winning the title. They lost one affair and drew another. They also went on to defeat in the Super Cup as well as the semi-finals in Copa del Rey. So recent head-to-head between this pair suggests the opposite. That Real Madrid is the better option for our soccer picks and – the best bit –as the big betting underdogs at +333 they are also the value pick. If you are inclined towards Real Madrid you could do no worse than backing them to the victory here.

It should be pointed out that often these hyped up matches do fall short of the mark and therefore a case can be made for an excruciating draw, which is a good bet at +275. There have been no shortage of draws between these two sides over the years in fact and the most recent in domestic action was a 2-2 draw at Camp Nou in their first Primera meeting last season. Nothing is more satisfying than a win and given the importance of this clash towards the broad spectrum of the season and the title race, one hopes a clear winner emerges.

Finally, where the totals are concerned, odds makers are leaning towards the Over 2.5 at -188. Both Barcelona and Real Madrid contain enviable talent in the form of Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo, respectively – two players that are in the hunt for top scorer this season as in previous years – and so it’s hardly surprising that the expectation is for a high-scoring affair. Indeed such firepower that will be at full tilt in this clash rarely disappoints and so we too are plumping down to the Over 2.5 at -188 as our bonus pick.

Soccer Free Picks: Real Madrid to win outright at +333 and Over 2.5 -188


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