Soccer Picks: Barcelona vs. Granada Spanish La Liga

Nila Amerova

Tuesday, November 19, 2013 8:45 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 19, 2013 8:45 PM UTC

Spanish La Liga betting features Barcelona hosting Granada in week 14. Join us as we preview this clash and deliver our value soccer picks.

Barcelona soaring high

Barcelona ran away comfortable 4-1 winners over bottom-stragglers Real Betis in week 13, a result divinely predicted by all and sundry and that fell in line with online sportsbooks’ expectations. That last victory extended the Blaugrana’s undefeated run through La Liga to 13 consecutive matches, comprising of 12 wins and a draw.

Now they will be anxious to maintain this nigh flawless form and consequently the edge over Atletico Madrid in the title race, credible rivals that were nipping at their heels just a point shy going into week 13 but have let up some of that pressure on a costly 1:1 draw to Villarreal. The three-point gap now opened in the table presents a happy reprieve for Barca especially in the wake of a spate of injuries to their roster, namely to Lionel Messi who tore his hamstring and is expected to be sidelined anywhere between 6 to 8 weeks.

Not to take their growing injury list lightly but it’s rather fortunate for Barcelona to be hosting Granada – a gritty side that sits in eighth place – at the Camp Nou where they have been indomitable over the course of 21 matches. Typically, home ground advantage gives any side a decided edge. In Barca’s case however it practically makes them an almost certain soccer pick, as evinced by their hefty -800 soccer odds at Bet365 to win outright.

Emboldened by back-to-back wins Granada will surely look at the injury to Messi (and the possible absence of Pique due to hip problems) as a rare opportunity at the Camp Nou despite ridiculously large soccer odds of +1600 to win outright and the similarly large odds of +750 on the draw.

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It’s worthwhile to note that Granada have a healthy road record that stands at 3-2-1 this season and includes two wins (both clean sheets) and two draws in their last five outings. What’s at stake for them here is ascendancy and that counts as an intangible. They are only three points shy of sixth placed Getafe, six points shy of fifth placed Athletic Club. A share in the spoils would go some way towards closing the gap on the top five.  

Of course, Barca’s bench is a veritable buffet of depth and skill so even in the absence of the prolific Messi it’s foolhardy to assume Granada can just traipse into Camp Nou and merrily strut off with one or more points. The embarrassing choice before Coach Gerardo Martino will allow him to adjust easily.

That notion is reflected nowhere more so than in the score betting markets that go as high as a staggering 9-1 in favour of Barcelona, a score – if you are so inclined – trading at whopping +35000 
odds at Bet365. Of course, more reasonable prices (in the triple digit range) can be found on scores ranging from 1-0 to 4-0 with the 2-0 and 3-0 scores priced shortest at +550. Compare that comprehensive score cast with the offering on Granada that ranges from 1-0 to 4-3 and you get a clear sense what a mismatch it is according to sportsbooks.

Soccer Betting Verdict: Barcelona’s strength at Camp Nou combined with the depth and skill of the squad makes it hard to bet against them and, as such, we’re expecting a Barcelona win here. Backing it at -800 is a sure bet but hardly a moneymaker so we have to be creative with our picks in order to squeeze as much value possible from this match. Towards that end we’re looking at the double result market, which has Barcelona winning both halves at -225 as well as the Over 2.5 at -275. Finally, Barcelona to cover the 2-point handicap at +100 is our bonus soccer pick.

Recommended Soccer Free Picks: Barcelona to win outright at -800; win both halves at -225; and the Over 2.5 at -275.

Recommended bonus soccer picks: Barcelona -2 at +100
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