Soccer Picks: Atletico Madrid vs. Zenit St. Petersburg

Mike Richardson

Sunday, September 15, 2013 4:07 PM GMT

More chances to win money, money, money if you follow your Humble Handicapper’s picks when Atlético Madrid take on Zenit St. Petersburg on September 18th.

Check out our report on 2013-14 Champions League Betting Futures!

Without any further ado, let’s put these two teams into some form of context. Atlético Madrid may be 33/1 long shots to win the Champions league and 25/1 to reach the final, but Zenit are 50/1 to reach the final and 125/1 to win it. I'm sure some of you will happily take to the SBR Forum to let me know that long shots do sometimes make it and upsets can well happen at this stage of the competition (with the long shots coming off) but I can’t see the apple cart being upset in this game.

Enough with the plugs for SBR Forum… WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Both sides are a little bit up and down at the time of press, but both are undefeated in their last five. Zenit have the edge with four wins and one draw while Madrid have to make do with three wins and two draws.

That would suggest advantage Zenit and the bookies have a St. Petersburg win at 5/1 in the soccer betting odds, so you could do a lot worse than stick a couple of quid down on that one. However, both of Madrid’s draws were against a side called Barcelona (0-0 and 1-1), so maybe it’s now advantage Madrid; I’ll tell you that the bookies offer up a home win at 4/7.

If you think those facts balance each other out, why not back the draw at 14/5 soccer odds.

Goals to Be Scored

Zenit look pretty deadly in front of goal and have clocked up 14 goals in their last five games, but they have conceded in all but one of them. They’ve not let in many (five goals in five matches) but they do let in. It’s a similar story for Madrid, they’ve scored 11 goals in their last five, but have conceded three (and  kept two clean sheets).

One of Madrid’s clean sheets was away from home against Barca no less, and the other was part of a 5-0 romp at home to Rayo Vallecano.

The bookies see Atlético Madrid taking this game and taking both halves, as them leading on the 45' and the 90' is a decent sports betting favourite at 11/8. I can’t see any other victor, but if you think the home side will drop a half, then by all means back the game being draw at the 45' before a Madrid victory (some of my loose change might make it there).

[gameodds]8/244337/?r3=192-43-349-19-999997-118-238-227/dec&r-1=192-43-349-19/us[/gameodds]

 Soccer Pick: Madrid wins 2-0 available at 15/2 with Ladbrokes

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