Soccer Picks: Athletic Bilbao vs. Villrreal

Mike Richardson

Wednesday, October 16, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 16, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Your Humble Handicapper may well have won a tidy sum on the World Cup Qualifiers, but money never sleeps. There’s cash to be won with his soccer picks when Athletic de Bilbao take on Villarreal.

The Spanish top flight is just eight games old and there’s a very familiar sight at the top of the table. Barcelona are sitting pretty on 24 points with an 100% record. They are joined on maximum points with Atlético Madrid, but the soccer odds only see one winner in this two horse race.  Barca are 4/9 to win it (clear sportsbook favourites).

The table tells you the blindingly obvious about Barcelona but it also tells us plenty about what soccer odds to pick in this match. Villarreal are a pretty tasty 4th in the table with five wins, two draws and just one defeat from their eight games. However, Villarreal are 15/8 soccer odds on a top four finish with the bookies.

Enough with the table topper…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Two places further down (but still in a Europa League qualifying spot) sit Athletic Bilbao. They’ve won four drawn one and lost three. Bilbao are 11/10 on a top six finish, certainly a pretty safe soccer bet.

What does that tell us in terms of soccer picks? It tells us that it’s going to be close.

If you want to simply back the table for your soccer picks go for a Villarreal win at 12/5, or if you want to buck the table go for a Bilbao win at 5/4 but if you want to follow your Humble Handicapper back a draw at 9/4.

One of the reasons I fancy a draw, is that Athletic Bilbao have scored just as many goals as they have conceded, 13 (unlucky for some).

With that in mind check out 1-1 at 11/2 and 2-2 at 14/1, but do stay away from 3-3 and higher (even at 50/1 because in the last three meetings between these sides we’ve only seen seven goals. Also avoid 0-0 as there’s only been one clean sheet from the last five meetings between these sides.

Let's Look at the Serie A betting odds for Juventus vs. Fiorentina~


What’s More?

The last two meeting between these two sides have ended drawn. 1-1 back in September 2012 and 2-2 last February.

Looking further back there’s only been one side who’s come out on top in the three previous meetings between these two sides, and that’s been Villarreal. They’ve managed 4-1, 2-1 and 1-0 against Bilbao and are undefeated against them in five!

What’s more looking at the goals scored tally between these two sides. Villarreal have outscored Bilbao 10-5.

But Villarreal have dropped points in their last two away games while Bilbao have won two and drawn one of their last three home games.

If you must back a Villarreal win and few sportsbooks would laugh at you for doing it go for 2-1 at 11/1.

These sides will equal each other out. Bet accordingly.

Free Soccer Picks:  The game ends drawn at 2-2 available at 14/1 with ladbrokes.

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