Soccer Picks: Aston Villa vs. Manchester City

Steven Suarez

Friday, March 1, 2013 6:32 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 1, 2013 6:32 PM UTC

The Citizens find themselves far behind Manchester United in the standings, so they certainly cannot afford to get anything but a victory during their visit of Aston Villa on Monday.

Premier League Tips

Odds Overview

In spite of being at home in storied Villa Park, the Villans are considered 5/1 underdogs against City on Monday.

That leaves the Citizens as 1/2 favorites, with a draw at 57/20. Right now, the OVER 2.5 goals is getting more love (5/7) than is the UNDER (11/10). Truth be told, we don't see a lot of goals in this one, but we've certainly been wrong before.

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Aston Villa

The Villans are in the midst of a battle to stay in the top flight. They're currently in the relegation zone, but there's still plenty of time for them to reach safety.

Things were looking up when Villa beat West Ham 2-1 at home, but two weekends later they couldn't overcome Arsenal, losing 2-1 at Emirates Stadium. Andreas Weimann scored for the Villans, but two goals from Santi Cazorla doomed the visitors.

The road doesn't get any easier now though, as the Villans play host to a mega-talented Manchester City outfit

Villa's home record isn't going to scare many. They've scored a paltry 11 goals in 13 matches at Villa Park, while giving up 19.

The Villans have been getting most of their goals from Christian Benteke, not the bigger names like Gabriel Agbonhalor, Darren Bent or Charles N'Zogbia. Benteke is pacing Villa with 11 goals and four assists in Premier League play, both of which are team-highs.

Manchester City

The Citizens are 12 points behind Manchester United for the top spot in the Premier League, so it's going to take a miracle for them to win the title this season.

It's been a while since City was playing away from Manchester. Their latest two fixtures were at home, the first a 4-0 win over Leeds in the FA Cup and the second a 2-0 Premier League victory over Chelsea.

No matter what, a win over a top side like the Blues is always a good scalp. Yaya Toure and Carlos Tevez got the goals for the Citizens, who also looked very sound defensively. Kole Toure, Pablo Zabaleta, Matija Nastasic and Gael Clichy got the job done.

On the surface, you'd have to think City's back-line, along with Joe Hart, have an excellent chance at another clean sheet against a Villa outfit that's been misfiring in front of goal all season long.

As for the Citizens' form away from home, they've been solid. They've only lost two of 13 away matches, while surrendering just 13 total goals.


Premier League Pick

Mancini has come out and said that this match is a must-win for City, but they've really had a hard time finding the back of the net outside of Manchester.

Still, all signs are pointing towards a win for Mancini's team on Monday. They've regained some confidence with two consecutive victories and have already easily beaten Villa in the league this season.

Back in the middle of November, City won 5-0 at home over the Villans. It was complete domination from start to finish, with both Tevez and Sergio Aguero getting braces and David Silva also getting in on the goalscoring.

In the end, we see a narrow Citizens’ win here, but we actually think the best value may be on playing the UNDER 2.5 goals at 11/10 for your soccer picks. Villa will likely be on the backfoot in hopes they can get the draw and we simply don't foresee a lot of goals here.

Soccer Picks: Aston Villa 0 Manchester City 2

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