Soccer Picks: Aston Villa vs. Manchester City Betting Odds

Tuesday, September 24, 2013 8:52 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 24, 2013 8:52 PM UTC

It's soccer betting value galore as high-flying Manchester City visit Villa Park to square off against the Villans on Saturday.
<p style="text-align:center"><span></span></p> <p style="text-align:center"><em>Check out our report on <a href="/soccer/free-picks/soccer-picks-2013-14-premier-league-future-odds-predictions-a-31470/" title="Soccer Picks: 2013-14 Premier League Future Odds &amp; Predictions" target="_blank">2013-14 English Premier League Betting Futures</a>!</em></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">On the face of it, this doesn’t look like much of a contest. Man City travel to Birmingham high on the success of a convincing win in the Manchester derby. Villa, on the other hand, somehow contrived to lose their last home match to Newcastle.</span></p> <p><img style="font-size:1em" src="/picks-pictures/PaulLambertAstonEPL_September2013_200.jpg" class="imgSelectedPicture article-image" alt="Image preview" id="ctl00_head_ArticleAdministrator_picturePreview_imgSelectedPicture" />It is certainly true to say that Villa Park is no longer the fortress that it once was and that one of the reasons for the home team’s struggles in recent seasons has been their failure to win games on their own patch. Former manager Ron Atkinson once even opined that the players were intimidated by playing there. That isn’t all of the story, though, but this is no place for a Jonathan Wilson-esque tactical exposition. What is important is that Paul Lambert knows that in order to improve their league position, Villa have to win games at home, no matter who the opposition are.</p> <p>They also have to stop conceding goals. Saturday’s 1-0 victory at Norwich was their first clean sheet since December 8<sup>th</sup>, 2012 and owed much to goalkeeper Brad Guzan, who pulled off a remarkable last minute save to deny Norwich an equaliser, along with an actually-easier penalty stop in the first half.</p> <p>For City, the challenge is rather different. Putting four goals past Manchester United at home is one thing, but their previous two away games have <a target="_blank" title="Soccer Picks: Stoke vs. Manchester City Betting Odds" href="/soccer/free-picks/soccer-picks-stoke-vs-manchester-city-betting-odds-a-33360/">seen them draw 0-0 with Stoke</a> and, in August, lose 3-2 in Cardiff. That’s not an away record that speaks of <a target="_blank" title="Soccer Picks: Manchester City 2013-14 EPL Future Odds Betting" href="/soccer/free-picks/soccer-picks-manchester-city-2013-14-epl-future-odds-betting-a-31834/">potential Premiership champions</a>, no matter how well they perform at home.</p> <p>Villa look likely to be without star striker Christian Benteke for this game, after he injured a hip early in the Norwich game. Gabriel Agbonlahor, who also left that game injured, should be fit, though, whilst Libor Kozak will be looking to score more now that he has opened his Villa account at last.</p> <p>City’s concerns are likely to be fewer, especially after fielding a weakened squad against Wigan in midweek. Jack Rodwell is likely to remain out, but Micah Richards could see his first Premier League action of the season after being an unused substitute for the Manchester derby.</p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">[gameodds]2/245414/?r3=349-43-192-19-999997-118-238-227/dec&amp;r-1=349-43-192-19/us[/gameodds]</span></p> <p>Notwithstanding this, Villa still look the much more attractive betting option, <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Bet and win BIG betting the English Premier League at Bet365.com!" href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=778&amp;book=bet365inarticle">priced at 5/1 with Bet365</a>. City’s poor away form and the undoubted benefit of that maiden clean sheet of the season, coupled with the knowledge that they beat City in Manchester last season (albeit in the league cup) make them a far more attractive <a target="_blank" title="Free Soccer Picks" href="/soccer/">soccer betting</a> proposition than City at a best price of 31/50 <span style="font-size:1em">with Coral.</span></p> <p>In fact, the 1-1 draw is the leader in the correct score market, best priced at 8/1 <span style="font-size:1em">with BetVictor; but at 1-0, the same bookmaker has a Villa win priced at 18/1. Indeed, any market whereby the home side keep a second successive clean sheet will net you a decent profit. It is probably expecting too much for Villa to deny City’s millionaire strike force for the full 90 minutes though, so if you are looking to back a home win with a correct score then 2-1 (again, 18/1 at BetVictor) or 3-2 (40/1 just about everywhere) looks a more likely score.</span></p> <p>If you are not feeling quite that adventurous, check out the half time/full time market and consider City winning the game in the second half for your <a href="/" title="For the latest in sports odds, news, picks and predictions, visit SBRForum.com!" target="_blank">sports picks</a>. Villa have a propensity to concede late goals and lose good match positions by becoming too defensive, so a half-time draw and a City win look good value at 15/4 in the <a target="_blank" title="Betting ODds" href="/betting-odds/soccer/">soccer odds</a> <span style="font-size:1em">thorugh Bwin.</span></p> [/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":245414, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/] <p><em style="font-size:1em">Discuss the English Premier League season at <a target="_blank" title="Visit SBRForum's Soccer Forum!" href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/soccer-handicapping/">SBRForum.com's soccer message boards</a>!</em></p>
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