Soccer Picks: Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Premier League Betting

Nila Amerova

Tuesday, March 11, 2014 6:52 PM GMT

League leaders Chelsea travel to the Midlands to take on Aston Villa in Premier League week 30 betting. Join us as we breakdown this clash and deliver our choice free soccer picks for your consideration.

Chelsea’s title to lose

The Premier League title this season is Chelsea’s to win or lose; that is what sportsbooks are now suggesting with Chelsea up to -120 in Premier League futures betting. Fancied Man City, since the start of the season, have been downgraded to second favourites at +188 (or thereabouts) while Liverpool at +550 have become third favourites, leapfrogging over Arsenal now down to +2000. How the futures market changes over the course of the season and it, most likely, will continue to fluctuate as the league pushes towards the business end. The curious bit the market pecking order is out of whack so to speak, standing in contrast to the current status quo in the table. But that’s a discussion for another time. Suffice it for now to reiterate that the title is Chelsea’s to win or lose.

With that in mind, Chelsea travel to the Midlands to take on Aston Villa this weekend, looking to extend their seven-point lead over both Liverpool and Arsenal. Current form is extremely encouraging for the Blues, so much so that they enter week 30 Premier League betting as the indisputable favourites over Aston Villa. Bet365 matches the Blues on -225 soccer odds to win outright while listing the draw at +320. The hosts meanwhile are listed as high as +650 for the home win.

Chelsea are after a comprehensive 4-0 victory over Tottenham Hotspurs at Stamford Bridge. Jose Mourinho was so pleased with his Blues that he took his leave –as he’s won’t to do on occasion – after exchanging a handshake with his opposite Tim Sherwood a few minutes early.  He’d seen enough of his lads running roughshod over the Spurs, a side that has been quite terrific on the road this season until last weekend.

The victory extended Chelsea’s run of form to four games undefeated overall across all competitions and marked their twelfth win in their last 17 fixtures across all competitions (12-4-1). The only blight on this span was a 2-0 defeat to Man City in FA Cup. Premier League form alone is equally encouraging with 14 straight undefeated; the last defeat was a 3-2 away defeat against Stoke City on December 7, 2013.

Naturally, this doesn’t provide positive reading for Aston Villa fans. Indeed, the Villans will have all to do to stop the Chelsea juggernaut at Villa Park, not to mention transcend the poor form (8-7-13 on the season), which has forced them down to eleventh in the table and includes an inauspicious 4-2-8 mark at home.

That said Aston Villa are flush off an encouraging victory over Norwich City, a 4-1 routing at Villa Park that snapped a four-game winless stretch. Last week, Aston Villa were slated to take on Man City but due to the latter’s FA Cup commitments the fixture was postponed. Therefore, Aston Villa have had a fortnight to prepare for Chelsea’s visit but whether that will be helpful remains to be seen. Certainly, it can’t hurt, what with Chelsea flitting between Champions League and Premier League commitments. 

Aston Villa vs. Chelsea match betting tips and pick:

On paper, this is an utter mismatch. Aston Villa at +650 underdog odds at Bet365 are a long shot bet at Chelsea’s expense, a soccer pick only for a diehard Villa fan. The popular soccer pick is Chelsea at -225 soccer odds to win outright, without question. And, more likely than not, they will continue their positive form on the road, improve the 7-4-3 away record and add the all important “W” into the column that will see them maintain their edge over their title threats.

On their last five Premier league treks, Chelsea have scored ten goals and conceded two (three matches were clean sheets). Aston Villa by contrast, in their last five home fixtures, have scored ten goals and conceded ten goals. Therefore, our recommended bonus soccer pick is the Over 2.5 at -105 at Bet365.

Soccer Free Picks: Chelsea to win outright at -225; Over 2.5 at -105

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