Soccer Picks: Arsenal vs. Fulham

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, January 15, 2014 7:03 PM GMT

Arsenal are set to heap more misery on Fulham all the while mindful of their lofty Premier League ambitions. Here’s a primer on this matchup complete with soccer free picks.

Arsenal off to flying start

Arsenal are off to a flying start in 2014, extending their winning form, which dates back to Boxing Day, to five in a row across all competitions and includes three clean sheets. They beat West Ham United, Newcastle United, Cardiff City and Aston Villa maintaining their impressive form against middleweight Premier League opposition. As well, they dismissed Tottenham Hotspur from FA Cup action with convincing 2-0 victory at the Emirates.

The sum of their 15-3-3 season has them sitting lotus at the top of the Premier League table on 48 points through 21 laps. That enviable mark however hasn’t correlated towards a significant nod in soccer betting markets where sportsbooks continue to snub Arsenal, listing the Gunners as the third favourites to win the Premier League at +400 soccer odds, behind favourites Man City and Chelsea.

Teams are expected to win in their kop but road wins are considered tougher to come by and therefore expectation is lower in road games. Win at home and split on the road is often the mantra. Yet, the best teams find a way to win on the road with some regularity. Great teams do so more often. Currently, the only team in Premier League that boasts an unimpeachable record at home and equally solid record on the road is Arsenal. They are 8-1-2 on the road, considerably better than Man City (15-2-4, 5-2-4 away) and Chelsea (14-4-3, 5-3-3 away) are on their travels.

 If anything that tell us that they are the best team in English top flight, which, in turn, means that they are being rather severely underrated by sportsbooks in futures markets. What’s more, it could also mean that they are the savvy soccer pick to win the league outright this season. Granted, just two points separate the top three teams going into week 22 EPL betting, making the title race a wide-open affair. But if the Gunners maintain their solid form (both home and away) all the while their top rival threats continue their inconsistent ways on the road, Arsenal should emerge tops by season end.

Next up on the road to Premier League glory is a hapless Fulham visiting Arsenal. That this is a home affair practically makes it a foregone conclusion, or so is the implied probability behind the soccer odds that point to an Arsenal win. Hosting Fulham, a side struggling something awful this season, only increases the probability of that implied outcome actually occurring.

Fulham boast a 6-1-14 mark in Premier League and 19 points, a tally that has seen them claw their way out of the relegation zone for the time being. Only three points separate the bottom five teams so nothing is a guarantee as they teeter precariously on the edge of English football’s top-flight cliff.  One thing is certain however, they’ll be hard pressed to take a point – never mind all three – at the Emirates this weekend.

Arsenal vs. Fulham match betting tips and picks:

Sportsbooks are tipping this match as a home banker with Arsenal listed as the -450 favourites at Bet365 and we have to agree. Nothing about Fulham suggests they are on the verge of orchestrating the biggest upset of the season, as evinced by their hefty +1100 soccer odds to win outright at Bet365. To add value to Arsenal as your soccer pick in this match, take the Over 2.5 at -222.

Additional soccer picks for your consideration: Arsenal to win both halves is listed at -163; Giroud’s form has picked up of late and he’s a -150 soccer pick to score anytime.

Soccer Free Picks: Arsenal to win outright at -450; Over 2.5 at -222

Bonus Pick: Arsenal to win league at +400 in futures betting

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