Soccer Picks: Arsenal vs. Everton

Nila Amerova

Friday, December 6, 2013 3:17 PM GMT

Friday, Dec. 6, 2013 3:17 PM GMT

After serving Man U with a defeat at the Old Trafford, would Everton be so bold to do the same to Arsenal when they descend on the Gunners at the Emirates on Sunday? Find out what the bookies take on this matchup is and where we feel the value soccer picks are hidden.

Everton stun Man U

Bryan Oviedo’s late goal lifts Everton to a victory over Man U at the Old Trafford for the first time since 1992, stunning the Man U faithful and soccer-betting markets across the board, forced to payout those who dared to back the Toffees at their raucous +450 underdog odds.

On Saturday, though, sportsbooks send the same Everton side – despite their momentous victory, not to mention their nigh flawless record on the season that sports just one lone defeat (to Man City) – into Emirates at equally raucous odds if a tad tapered. At +400 to win outright at Bet365, bettors can safely assume that market estimation hasn’t changed at all.

Granted league leading Gunners are a much better team than the Red Devils are this season. But, for some reason, it seems to pain bookies to admit just how good the Toffees are this season. When is Roberto Martinez and Co. going to get some market respect, for their enviable 7-6-1 record – you can bet the Man U faithful is affronted by the sight of it –and for holding their own against credible title threats in Liverpool and Tottenham (the latter is a point of contention in sports betting circles). 

Everton gave back what it got against Liverpool, both sides living up to the billing to deliver on the much-anticipated Merseyside derby. In fact, Everton came back from behind when Romelu Lukaku scored twice in ten minutes to give Everton the 3-2 lead, and they would have (should have) won had it not been for the indefatigable Daniel Sturridge, on an assist by legendary Steven Gerrard, striking a late goal to salvage the point for Liverpool.

If there is a lessoned to be learned here, it’s not to underestimate Everton. What’s more, it’s beyond difficult to beat them. It seems Arsenal – perhaps by virtue of their league leading 31 points on the back of an 11-1-2 record, which includes a solid (though, not flawless) 6-0-1 record at home – is being held to a loftier standard. As if at firm -150 soccer odds, the Gunners – by example of Arsene Wenger and his tightly zipped puffy coat – can’t possibly come undone.

[gameodds]2/251822/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Arsenal’s only two defeats this season came to Chelsea ( home) and Man U (away) but they can’t take anything for granted even if all and sports-betting sundry are firmly cornering the match in their camp. Everton can’t be taken lightly, not when they have plenty attacking options to turn to, namely Lukaku at +160 at Bet365 to score anytime, which he came very close to doing against Man U but for miscuing his strike a tad away from the goal but right into striking zone for Oviedo to neatly tuck it away.

It’s a bit odd to say it so, but Everton is going to be a tough test for Arsenal, one they’ll need to pass if they hope to underscore their title credentials this year. So far the only side to beat Everton is Man City; incidentally, the current favourites to win the title at +150 even though they trail Arsenal by seven gap defining points in the table and are rather an enigma on the road. (Can you win the Premier League with a poor road record?) This is not to say that by beating Everton, Arsenal, based on that alone, will soar to the top of Premier League futures odds ahead of their market rivals Man City. But it will go some way towards underscoring their claim to the title that’s priced at +225 soccer odds at Bet365 as they maintain that crucial edge in the table – especially when Man City...wait for it...drum roll...are on the road to an in-form Southampton this weekend.

Soccer Betting Verdict: Tale told this is a must-win game for Arsenal. Given how well they bounced back for a 1-0 defeat at the Old Trafford to win three in a row, all with clean sheets across all competitions, they really do look to be the best option at -150 for your soccer picks. If there were a team to hand Everton a second defeat on the season it would have to be Arsenal you’d think.

That said, Everton will be no pushovers and we believe they’ll play to win it at +400 or, if necessary, for the point at +275 on the draw. They aren’t coming to the Emirates to simply play coquettes with the Gunners, while batting eyelashes at Arsene Wenger in a vain attempt to tease a beaming smile out of him, are they now. You could do no worse than back Everton to either win or draw, not after they beat a Man U side brimming with confidence from a 12 game undefeated streak. That’s them told.

For those at a complete loss or neutral sports bettors that can’t decide there are endless options for your soccer picks such as backing the Over 2.5 at -143, the double chance market, which offers several options to cover a couple of basis, such as Arsenal or draw at -550. Or Draw or Everton at +125 – the latter of which is the better value soccer pick. Arsenal to score in both halves is on offers at +125 while Everton to score in both halves is listed at +400, another two options that are quite attractive.

Soccer Free Picks: Arsenal to win outright at -150; Over 2.5 at -143
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