Soccer Picks Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich UEFA CL

Nila Amerova

Friday, February 14, 2014 1:01 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 14, 2014 1:01 PM UTC

Arsenal and Bayern Munich are drawn together in UEFA Champions League R16 betting action, setting up a cracking tie in the knockout stages that soccer bettors simply must spot. Join us as we breakdown this matchup complete with soccer free picks for your consideration.

Arsenal at the HUGE disadvantage

The brutal truth is Arsenal are in over their heads. The moment the draw came out and it was revealed that Arsenal and Bayern Munich were drawn together in the sudden death Round of 16, a gasp could be heard around the world. Gooners, who might have been suffused with dreams of winning the UEFA Champions League this season, in one fell swoop realised just how futile those fanciful dreams really were. Not even liquid peace could assuage their disappointment apparently.

By that same token, sportsbooks send Arsenal into the first leg of their tie with Bayern Munich at the whopping disadvantage of +350 soccer odds to win outright at Bet365. And adding insult to injury, these odds are for the home portion of their tie in fact. Scary to think what the reverse leg at the Allianz Arena might be priced at from this vantage point, without the result of the first leg weighing in the balance. 

As good as Arsenal are – after all they spent 130 days this season at the Premier League summit – they are clearly no match for Bayern Munich in the minds of odds makers. Why else would their odds to win the competition outright all of a sudden drift out from +1600 (or thereabouts) to +2800 in futures betting markets?

What end does fate hold for Arsenal in Europe’s top-flight competition? If we were to take a page from last season, it might not be a happy one indeed. Arsenal (oh so ironically) drew Bayern Munich in the R16 then too and –tale told – they lost the first leg at home 3-1. Although Arsenal did win the second leg 2-0 to draw 3-3 on aggregate (incidentally, it was the only match Bayern Munich lost in the sudden death rounds), it mattered little as the Bavarians advanced by virtue of away goals and then merrily traipsed all the way to the coveted title.

Given such evidence, is it any wonder odds makers show little faith in Arsenal? What’s more, it doesn’t help Arsenal’s cause that they are after a 5-1 disembowelling at Anfield Stadium in EPL action last weekend, and a scoreless draw at home to a Man United in midweek action, a side mired in an existential crisis this season. It remains to be seen what Arsenal will accomplish against Liverpool in FA Cup action this weekend, but with this daunting schedule already fraught with disappointment, perhaps it’s a self preservation mechanism in the event that Arsenal do come completely unstuck.

The narrative for Bayern Munich is extremely encouraging. Winning on English soil against a top class Premier League outfit isn’t run of the mill stuff but the Bavarians are the class of football, end of. They are the top favourites to repeat as European champions at +225 to win outright at Bet365, which represents a significant edge over Real Madrid at +375 and perennial favourites Barcelona at +550.

Going into the Emirates, Bayern Munich are installed as the runaway favourites at -138 to win outright. There is no hesitation in soccer betting markets where they are concerned, no coy odds set on the short side of even money that could be open to interpretation. Sportsbooks across the board are unanimous, Bayern Munich are the smart soccer pick to win outright.

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Soccer Betting Verdict: Well, that’s the markets for you. And they are cast so for good reason, obviously. Put simply, there are few positives to take away from any sportsbook odds where Arsenal is concerned. Had Arsenal fared better against Liverpool and Man U this week perhaps then a rethink might have been in order. But such were Arsenal’s disappointments, lacklustre and lethargic offense and complete breakdown of defence that rendered any potential rethink completely unnecessary. So unconvincing were they over the past week that few believe they could hijack this tie from Bayern’s rightful claim. So without waxing lyrical about Bayern Munich, they are our recommended soccer pick as the deserved favourites to win outright at -138. Only a moment of genius or luck would see Arsenal take something from this match.

Soccer Free Picks: Bayern Munich at -138 to win outright.

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