Soccer Picks: Algeria vs. Burkina Faso World Cup Qualifier

Steven Suarez

Monday, November 18, 2013 8:44 PM GMT

Burkina Faso holds the narrow edge heading into the return leg in Algeria. What's the best soccer pick for this World Cup qualifying battle?

Odds Overview

The soccer betting odds vary depending on the sportsbook, but Algeria is at approximately -200 to win at home. The Stallions meanwhile are huge underdogs at +660 or so, with a draw at +300.

How We Got Here

Algeria won five of six matches in Group H of the African region, a group that included Mali, Benin and Rwanda. They won all three matches at home (goal differential of plus seven) and won two of three away from home.

Islam Slimani is among the top scorers in the region, having netted five times in qualifying. El Arabi Soudani has scored three goals and Saphir Taider has found the back of the net twice

Burkina Faso finished with four wins and two losses in their group, beating out Congo, Gabon and Niger.

Aristide Bance and Jonathan Pitroipa have both scored three goals for their country in this qualifying competition so far.

The First Meeting

Inside Stade Du 4-Aout, which holds over 35,000 spectators, one of the more exciting WCQ matches took place.

Most of the action took place in the second half after Pitroipa had put Burkina Faso ahead right before the halftime whistle. Bance had missed from the penalty spot three minutes earlier, so it was a much-needed boost for the Stallions heading into the break.

Algeria evened things up five minutes into the second half thanks to Sofiane Feghouli, but Djakaridja Kone re-gained the advantage for Burkina Faso in the 65th minute. The back-and-forth nature continued though, as Carl Medjani tied the score up once again, only for Bance to make up for his previous wrongdoing by converting from the spot in the 86th minute.

As you can see, it was an extremely even affair, making this return leg in Stade 5 Juillet all the more appealing for sportsbooks.

Who Goes Through?

There doesn't seem to be a distinct advantage either way.

Yes, the Stallions hold the one-goal advantage, but Algeria proved they can score when given the chance and that should give them some confidence, especially since they now get the all-important home support.

That being said, Burkina Faso has quite a bit of experience and we like their chances of playing well enough to secure their first ever World Cup berth. The likes of Pitroipa and Bance have been causing havoc going forward, so in the end that value on either the Stallions to win or a draw seems too good to pass up.

While it's hard to go against a team that will be rallying behind their own fans, we like what we've seen out of the Stallions and they will be our recommended soccer pick for this World Cup qualifying showdown in Algeria.

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Soccer Pick: Algeria 1 Burkina Faso 1

Final Aggregate: Algeria 3 Burkina Faso 4

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