Soccer Picks: AC Milan vs. Napoli

Mike Richardson

Thursday, April 11, 2013 7:24 PM GMT

There is a corking match coming up in Italy when AC Milan takes on Napoli and your Humble Handicapper is expecting a little upset and a big profit.

Most would think that AC Milan will use their home advantage to win this game and the bookies have soccer odds of a home victory at 11/10 an away victory at 5/2 and a draw at 11/5. It’s also very interesting to note is that third-place AC Milan are 22/19 a second-place finish while Napoli are 1/3. Napoli have 62 points and AC Milan have 58 so this game really is a real everything to play for.

It’s worth noting that Napoli have won just one of the last seven games between these two sides although they have only been defeated twice.

Enough…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Napoli on a very tidy run and have won their last three games back-to-back scoring a whopping 10 goals and conceding just five. That would suggest that Napoli and win this game 2-1 something which is offered up by the sports books 12/1. Looking a little bit further back its less rosy for Napoli is in their last five games they have just three wins one loss and one defeat however the goal disposition is still very much in their favour with 11 goals to 8.

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By Comparison

Milan by comparison in the last five have the same three victories, one loss and one draw but their last game was a draw and one of those defeats was against Barcelona in the Champions League. Milan have scored seven goals in these five games and have only been stopped scoring by Barcelona in the away leg of the Champions League match. Discounting the four goals they shipped against Barcelona, Milan outscored their other four opponents seven goals to two and had kept three league clean sheets before their last game which ended drawn.

But in the head-to-head meetings between the two sides Milan have done the best winning two from the last five. And do bear in mind that Napoli have come out on top just once what's more interesting is that the last two games have ended drawn 2-2 and 0-0 scores that all offered up at 16/1 and 11/1 respectively for our soccer betting.

[gameodds]10/224765/349-169-43-1537-92/us[/gameodds]

Funny Feeling (or feeling funny)

Sometimes in the world of sports betting you just get the feeling about a certain game and I certainly have a feeling about this one. I think Napoli are going to win and that means it's a good time to bet on the away side and make a tidy bit of money. Napoli may have failed to score in their last two visits to this ground but I think they are in a goalscoring mood and things are about to change.

Free Soccer Picks: Napoli win 2-1 available at 12/1 with Will Hill.