Soccer Picks: 10 MLS Matches That Offer Betting Value For Our Week 23 Rundown

Seattle Sounders

Kevin Stott

Friday, August 12, 2016 11:01 PM GMT

Friday, Aug. 12, 2016 11:01 PM GMT

The New York Red Bulls have never lost at Home in five attempts against the Montreal, playing these two soccer picks against each other seems wise in MLS Week 23 on Saturday. Let’s look at that match and the nine others that will be played from Friday to Sunday in our modern weekly league rundown.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs. SJ Earthquakes
Chris Wondolowski (9 goals), Alberto Quintero (3 goals) and the the San Jose Earthquakes (6-10-6, 23 GF-24 GA) face Pedro Morales (6 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +220, Paddy Power) the host Vancouver Whitecaps (8-6-10, 33 GF-39 GA) at BC Place in Vancouver on Friday night (UniMás, TSN, MLS Live) for the MLS Regular Season Week 23 opener. The L5 meetings in this Western Conference series (SJ 1-1 VAN, VAN 3-1 SJ, SJ 1-0 VAN, SJ 0-0 VAN, VAN 2-0 SJ) has seen 4 Unders and the with the Home club an unbeaten 3-2-0 (W-D-L) and the Both Teams To Score (Yes) having W2 after 3 straight Clean Sheets. With the Quakes (0-6-5, 10 GF-18 GA) still winless on the Road in August and the Caps (5-5-2, 19 GF-13 GA) just average in British Columbia, the Under 2½ looks like the only approach for your betting pick outside of maybe taking the Home team Vancouver on the Draw No Bet marketplace (Whitecaps Draw No Bet -187, 10Red).

 

Final Score Prediction: Whitecaps 1 Earthquakes 1
Free MLS Pick: Under 2½ -110
Best Line Offered:  at Marathon

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DC United vs. Portland Timbers
The defending MLS champion Portland Timbers (8-8-8, 36 GF-34 GA) head three Time Zones east (PDT to EDT) to Washington, DC on Saturday night (MLS Live, News Channel 8, FOX 12) to face DC United (5-9-8, 22 GF-28 GA) in this intra-conference fixture. The final scores of all 6 meetings in this relatively new MLS series (POR 1-0 DCU, POR 3-2 DCU, DCU 0-2 POR, POR 1-1 DCU, DCU 1-1 POR, POR 2-3 DCU) reveals the Home team has W2 straight after going winless (0-2-2) in the first 4 meetings and the Timbers a quirky and unbeaten 3-2-0 the L5, with a 3-match Win Streak and 2 Clean Sheets. But trusting Neco Brett (Anytime Goalscorer +160, Bet365), Fanendo Adi (11 goals; Anytime Goalscorer +187, at Bet365), Diego Valeri (10 goals; Anytime Goalscorer +350, at PaddyPower) and the Timbers may be asking too much in this spot, although the perceived value has to be with the visitors. But like the Earthquakes, Portland (0-6-5, 9 GF-16 GA on Road) is still winless on the Road and with the Circadian Rhythm and Travel realities of going so far (2,806 miles), the edges here have to go with the hosts DCU (4-3-4, 15 GF-12 GA at Home) although there are better matches on which to bet here.

 

Final Score Prediction: DC United 1 Timbers 1
Free MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’ -129 
Best Line Offered: at 188Bet

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NY Red Bulls vs. Montreal Impact
Bradley Wright-Phillips (12 goals; Anytime Goalscorer -105, Bet365) and the New York Red Bulls (9-6-9, 40 GF-32 GA) host Chelsea and Ivorian legend Didier Drogba (8 goals; Anytime Goalscorer +175, Bet365) and the Montreal Impact (8-9-5, 37 GF-31 GA) at Red Bull Arena in Harrison, NJ on Saturday night (MLS Live, MSG, TVA Sports (US), Sky Sports 3/HD (UK)). The L5 meetings in this series (MTL 3-0 RBNY, RBNY 2-1 MTL, MTL 1-1 RBNY, RBNY 4-2 MTL, MTL 2-2) shows the Home side 3-2-0 the L5 and a deeper handicapping dive reveals that the Red Bulls a sparkly 5-0-0 lifetime at Home against the Impact (17 GF-6 GA) and that the Over has W7 of the L8 meetings in the MLS Regular Season. With the hosts chasing NYCFC in the Eastern Conference and players like Drogba, Ignacio Piatti (12 goals) and Dominic Oduro (4 goals) for Montreal and Phillips, Mike Grella (6 goals) and Sacha Kljestan (5 goals) for the hosts, this one should go Over the posted Total in the Garden State with the Weather still warm.

 

Final Score Prediction: Red Bulls 3 Impact 2
Free MLS Picks: Over 2½ -144 at Marathon, Red Bulls -137 at William Hill
Free MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) -142 at 188Bet

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Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC
Eastern Conference leaders NYCFC (10-7-7, 40 GA-40 GA) come in off a 0-0 Draw at San Jose in MLS Week 22 and here on Saturday (MLS Live, TWCSC-Ohio, CW-Columbus, YES) at Mapfre Stadium in the Ohio capital, David Villa (13 goals), Thomas McNamara (4 goals) and Chelsea legend Frank Lampard (8 goals) face Ola Kamara 10 goals) and NYCFC play the Columbus Crew (3-10-8, 36 GF-35 GA) in an Eastern Conference match much more important to the 9th-place Crew. With NYCFC just expanding into the MLS last season, these two clubs have only played three times (CLB 3-2 NYCFC, NYCFC 1-2 CLB, CLB 2-2 NYCFC) reveals three Overs and the Both Teams To Score (Yes) to be 3-0 with the Crew an unbeaten 2-1-0. So the onus will be on GK Josh Saunders and the visitors to play some Defense in order get the Win to hold on to their 1 point lead in the conference. Despite the Site, this is a game NYCFC can win and this club has been pretty decent on the Road (6-2-4, 19 GF-18 GA) this season.

 

Final Score Prediction: Crew 1 NYCFC 2
Free MLS Picks: NYCFC Draw No Bet +211 at Marathon, Over 2½ -154 at 888Sport
Free MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’ -171 at 888Sport

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New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union
The New England Revolution (6-8-9, 29 GF-40 GA) welcome the Philadelphia Union (8-7-8, 38 GF-37 GA) to Foxborough and Gillette Stadium on Saturday night (MLS Live, CSN-New England, The Comcast Network) in a big Eastern Conference showdown for both sides. The L5 meetings in this Eastern Conference series (PHI 3-0 NE, NE 1-1 PHI, PHI 0-1 NE, PHI 1-2 NE, NE 1-3 PHI) reveals the visitors 3-1-1 over the L5 with both sides 2-2-1. With Chris Pontius (9 goals), Roland Alberg (7 goals), CJ Sapong (6 goals) on one side and Lee Nguyen (5 goals) and Kei Kamara (4 goals) on the other there should be goals here but be forewarned there may be some nasty Weather in Foxborough with TWC forecasting isolated Thunderstorms in the evening a Low of 71°, SSW Winds of 6 mph and 87% Humidity, Mother Nature may indeed end up affecting the speed of play and a Delay is possible.

 

Final Score Prediction: Revolution 2 Union 2
Free MLS Pick: Over 2½ -142 at Bet365
Free MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (‘Yes’) -152 at 188Bet

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Houston Dynamo vs Toronto FC
Toronto FC (DLWWWW) takes a 4-match Win Streak into Houston on Saturday night (TSN5, MLS Live) when they face the Dynamo (4-8-10, 24 GF-28 GA) in a big intra-conference meeting. The L5 meetings in this series (TOR 1-2 HOU, TOR 0-1 HOU, HOU 2-2 TOR, TOR 4-3 HOU, HOU 0-0 TOR) reveals two Draws in the L2 meetings—a deeper dive reveals 4 consecutive Draws in Houston, all at BBVA Compass Stadium—here with 3 of the L4 going Over. With Houston (WDLDDL) winless in its L5, the lean would normally be with Toronto FC (10-6-7, 33 GF-24 GA), but Jozy Altidore and the 2nd-place Reds are just 3-3-6 on the Road (13 GF-16 GA) and are averaging just 1.08 gpg Away. So the perceived value play would be with Houston (+130, Bet365), despite TFC’s 4-game winning run.

 

Final Score Prediction: Dynamo 2 Toronto FC 1
Free MLS Pick: Dynamo Draw No Bet -137 
Best Line Offered: at Marathon

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FC Dallas vs. Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City (10-4-11, 28 GF-28 GA) heads south to the Lone Star State to face 1st-place FC Dallas (13-5-6, 37 GF-31 GA) on Saturday night (MLS Live, KMCI-38, TXA-21, TWCSC-TX) in a big Western Conference match for both sides. The L5 meetings in this series (SKC 2-0 DAL, DAL 2-1 SKC, SKC 2-1 DAL, SKC 2-0 DAL, DAL 2-1 SKC) reveals 4 Overs in the L5 and the Home team a perfect 5-0 and a deeper handicapping dive reveals the Over to be 9-2 in the L11 meetings in this series. And with SKC’s Dominic Dwyer (10 goals; Anytime Goalscorer +235, 888sport), Benny Feilhaber (5 goals) and Michael Barrios (6 goals) and Max Urruti (6 goals) for FCD (9-3-0, 25 GF-7 GA at Home) so dominating in suburban Dallas-Ft. Worth, the call here is for both the hosts because of their unblemished Home mark and for the Over because of the prevailing aforementioned Totals Trend.

 

Final Score Prediction: FC Dallas 2 Sporting Kansas City 1
Free MLS Picks: FC Dallas -127, Over 2½ Even
Best Line Offered: FC Dallas -127 at Marathon, Over 2½ Even at  Betstars 

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LA Galaxy vs. Colorado Rapids
Here on Saturday night (MLS Live, Altitude, TWCSN-LA (US), Sky Sports 3/HD (UK)) we have a battle royale between the the two clubs who have allowed the least goals in the MLS this season, the host LA Galaxy (9-10-3, 37 GF-23 GA) and MLS All-Star Giovanni Dos Santos (7 goals; Anytime Goalscorer +130, Paddy Power), Robbie Keane (7 goals), Gyasi Zardes (5 goals) and Jermaine Jones (3 goals) and the 2nd-place Colorado Rapids (11-8-3, 26 GF-19 GA). So far the Galaxy are still unbeaten at Home in Southern California this season (6-5-3, 25 GF-10 GA) behind GK Brian Rowe and their 22 Goals Allowed is only 2nd behind the Rapids (19) who have 37-year-old veteran and North Brunswick, New Jersey native Tim Howard—he of the USMNT and Everton in the English Premier League, which will begin its season on Sunday with 10 fixtures—in GK and playing in the Rocky Mountains now.

 

Final Score Prediction: LA Galaxy 3 Rapids 1
Free MLS Picks: LA Galaxy -133 at WilliamHill, Over 2½ Even at Matchbook
Free MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) -107 at 188Bet

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Chicago Fire vs. Orlando FC
David Accam (5 goals), Kennedy Igboananike (4 goals) and the Chicago Fire (4-6-10, 20 GF-30 GA) welcome 2015 MLS Rookie of the Year Cyle Larin (11 goals; Anytime Goalscorer -125, Paddy Power), Kevin Molino (9 goals), MLS All-Star captain Kaká (3 goals) and second-year MLS club Orlando City SC (5-11-6, 36 GF-39 GA) to suburban Chicagoland on Sunday afternoon (MLS Live, UniMás) for this Eastern Conference meeting between to sides who would miss the Playoffs at this point in time. 

With OCSC just expanded into the MLS last year these two sides have only played four times (ORL 1-1 FIRE, FIRE 0-1 ORL, ORL 1-1 FIRE, FIRE 2-3 ORL) with 2 Draws and the Home team winless in all four. Toss in the fact that these two clubs have just 2 Wins in their l12 combined matches, and there are better games on which to wager although the Props market may have some value here in the Both Teams To Score Market (Yes -135, 188Bet) with Chicago apt to allow Home goals but decent in Bridgeview (4-4-2, 12 GF-10 GA) in this spot, although check the Weather as it has been steamy in the Windy City (100 Heat Index) as well as windy and.the TWC Forecast for Sunday for Bridgeview is currently calling for intervals of Clouds, a High of 83°, N Winds to 5 mph and 62% Humidity, so, a bit stuffy.

Final Score Prediction: Fire 1 Orlando City 2
Free MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) -125 
Best Line Offered: at 188Bet

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Seattle Sounders vs. Real Salt Lake
The Seattle Sounders (7-3-12, 24 GF-29 GA) with captain Clint Dempsey (6 goals; (Anytime Goalscorer +140, Betfair), Jordan Morris (7 goals) play host to Yura Movsisyan (7 goals; Anytime Goalscorer +275, Bet365), Joao Plata (6 goals; Anytime Goalscorer +280, William Hill), Juan Manuel Martinez (6 goals; Anytime Goalscorer +350, Bet365), Pedro Báez (Anytime Goalscorer +509, Unibet) and stellar GK Nick Rimando and Real Salt Lake (10-7-7, 35 GF-34 GA) on Sunday evening (FS1, MLS Live (US), Sky Sports 1/HD (UK)) in the last match of MLS Week 23. The L5 meetings (RSL 2-1 SEA, SEA 3-1 RSL, RSL 2-0 SEA, SEA 3-2 RSL, RSL 2-1 SEA) in this Western Conference series shows 4 Overs in 5 matches and the Home side winners of the L5 meetings. A deeper handicapping dive shows the hosts here to be a sexy 9-0 the L9 meetings with the Over 7-2 so blindly backing the Sounders (5-1-5, 13 GF-9 GA at Home) in an off year over RSL (4-2-7, 19 GF-25 GA on Road) as well as the Over for equal and the smallest amounts is the prescription here.

Final Score Prediction: Sounders 2 Real Salt Lake 1
Free MLS Picks: Sounders -137 at Matchbook, Over 2½+110 at PaddyPower

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MLS Rundown Picks Record Last Week 22: 12-8-1

MLS Rundown Picks Record Weeks 18-21: 38-26-3

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