Soccer Pick: Burnley Visits Hull City For a Must Win EPL Fixture this Saturday

Lee Phelps

Friday, May 8, 2015 1:57 PM GMT

The nerves will be jangling for Hull & Burnley on Saturday. The Clarets could be relegated & Hull know they have to win this game. William Hill's Lee Phelps has looked at the odds for his soccer pick.

Burnley make the trip to the KC Stadium knowing it’s a must-win City to keep their slim hopes of staying in the Premier League alive as they are a +350 underdog on the soccer odds board for this Saturday's fixture.

The Clarets seemed to be clawing their way to safety when beat Manchester City, but George Boyd’s winner in that clash was their last goal as they have now gone for six games without scoring.

 

Hull City
The Tigers are just a place and a point above the drop zone after losing 3-1 at home to Arsenal, when they were quite simply out-played. They are just a point ahead of Sunderland, but also do have a much better goal difference, so the one point really equate to two.

The Tigers know that Sunderland are now playing with more intensity under Dick Advocaat and the Black Cats have collected four points from their last two games.

After this Hull will be left with Tottenham and Manchester United on their fixture list, so three points here are imperative. Given Sunderland’s renewed desire and Leicester City’s form, Hull definitely will treat this as a must-win encounter.

As for the team news Robert Snodgrass (knee) and Curtis Davies (thigh) remain side-lined, while Mohamed Diame (knee) and David Meyler (facial) are both doubts. Bruce could make a few changes from the side that lost to Arsenal last time out. Top goal scorer Nikica Jelavic could return to the side to partner Dame N’Doye up top in a 3-5-2 formation.

Andrew Robertson could also be handed a start at left wing-back but Ahmed Elmohamady should retain his place as the right wingback. Tom Huddlestone should retain his place as the holding midfielder, while Stephen Quinn and Jake Livermore work as central attacking midfielders.

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Burnley
Burnley’s terrible drought will cost them their premier league status. They have lost five of the six games in a run that condemned the Lancashire club to the foot of the table. With three games left to play they have 26 points, eight points less than 17th placed Hull.

That means Burnley must urgently end their goal drought and beat Hull, Stoke City and Aston Villa in their final three games. Should they succeed, Dyche’s men will still need favours elsewhere.

They will at least draw a lot of confidence from the news that defender Michael Duff has had the red card he received during Saturday’s 1-0 defeat to West Ham rescinded by the FA. Burnley will need Duff when they visit a Hull side that is also desperate for points.

There is still no Sam Vokes. He remains a doubt with his thigh injury and is not expected to return in time, while Kevin Long and Dean Marney are both side-lined with knee knocks.

Burnley will keep their usual 4-4-2 formation, possibly with Danny Ings and Ashley Barnes as the strikers should Vokes be deemed unfit. That could also mean a place on the left side of midfield for Matthew Taylor.

The rest of the outfield players should assume familiar roles, with Boyd as the right midfielder while David Jones and Scott Arfield work as central midfielders.

 

Soccer pick
I see this being a nervy affair and although Burnley must win it, I can’t see them throwing caution to the wind and going all-out attack. I can see a goal less first half, but Hull eventually breaking Burnley down. If you don’t want to get involved in the outright markets, just play the under 1.5 goals at 3.1. I’m going for a Hull win as my soccer pick and the under 2.5 goals though at 3.5 (5/2)

Free Soccer Pick: Hull win and under 2.5 goals 3.5 (5/2) at William Hill

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