Soccer Pick: Betting Value Found in Sunday's Serie A Roma vs. Genoa

Lee Phelps

Friday, May 1, 2015 1:06 PM GMT

Serie A gets underway early on Sunday with two sides eyeing up a European adventure, so who will be closer after 90 minutes? William Hill's Lee Phelps is looking at the odds for his free betting pick.

Two of Serie A’s top six have Europe on their minds and they face each other this weekend, with form not great for either Roma or Genoa let's check at the soccer odds to find where the value is heading for this fixture.

 

Roma
Roma’s eye was taken by Europe from November onwards and their fantastic home defensive form. Seven straight wins in Rome, with just two goals conceded turned into one win in nine and to be fair one loss in nine too. 

That run includes failing to beat Empoli, Atalanta and Parma, with the one win against high flying Napoli and the defeat against Sampdoria.

They have also only scored eight goals in those nine matches. Since being knocked out of the Europa League, they have improved, with three wins, two draws and a defeat as they begin to focus on automatic Champions League qualification, with just a point separating them and Lazio who occupy that spot.

Keep Checking on SBR's Serie A Odds Board & Shop for the Best Prices on the Market

Genoa
The recent form has been very good with four wins in their last five games, although if you scratch beneath the surface, you will see three of those games have been against the bottom three clubs and the other win was against Milan.

Genoa are a point behind Sampdoria and six behind Napoli, who both sit in a Europa League spot. The away form isn’t amazing, but they do generally score on the road, with only Juve and Fiorentina, keeping them to nil. They are the second highest scorers in Serie A on their travels, so can be counted on to score.

 

Soccer picks
I don’t see enough in either of these teams to give me enough confidence to place money on them winning, but the draw tempts me more at 4.0 (3/1) and I could even go as far as to go for 1-1 at 8.5 (15/2) for my free soccer pick.

Free Soccer Pick: 1-1 draw 8.5 (15/2) at William Hill

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