Soccer Odds: MLS Week 23 Select Picks

david villa

Kevin Stott

Friday, August 4, 2017 2:31 PM GMT

Friday, Aug. 4, 2017 2:31 PM GMT

MLS All-Star David Villa and NYCFC host Bradley Wright-Phillips and city rivals the New York Red Bulls for the first time in four meetings with the renewal of the Hudson Derby as a highlight of MLS Week 23.  Here are three weekend picks.

New England Revolution at Chicago Fire, Saturday

MLS All-Stars Nemanja Nikolic (16 goals) and Bastian Schweinsteiger and the Chicago Fire (11-5-5, 40 GF-24 GA) welcome Juan Agudelo (8 goals), Lee Nguyen (8 goals) and the Revolution (7-5-9, 36 GF-34 GA) to southwest suburban Chicagoland on Saturday night for this MLS Week 23 affair. David Accam (12 goals) and the 2nd-place (Eastern Conference) Chicago Fire come into this affair red-hot at Home with GK Sean Johnson and the Fire having not allowed a goal in its L3 fixtures in Bridgeview, outscoring opponents 10-0 in the process. That’s like, immaculate?

A look at the L5 meetings in this interconference series (NE 1-2 FIRE, FIRE 3-0 NE, FIRE 2-1 NE, NE 1-0 FIRE, NE 2-0 FIRE) reveals that the Home team is 4-1, the Under has hit 2 straight after 3 Overs in a row. With Kei Kamara (7 goals), Diego Fagundez (4 goals) and the Revs (0-3-7, 8 GF-21 on Road) winless on the Road and Luis Solignac (4 goals) and Chicago (9-1-0, 27 GF-4 GA at Home) so dominant and still unbeaten at Home at Toyota Stadium, suggesting betting on the Fire here in this particular spot.

Final Score Prediction: Fire 3, Revolution 1Free MLS Picks: Fire -142, Over 2½Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

 

Columbus Crew at San Jose Earthquakes, Saturday

Ola Kamara (11 goals) and the Columbus Crew (10-2-11, 33 GF-37 GA) travel 2,483 miles west to sunny Cal-i-for-nia to face Chris Wondolowski (8 goals) and the Earthquakes (8-5-9, 24 GF-34 GA) on Saturday night (MLS LIVE, NBC Sports Plus, CW Columbus, Spectrum Sports OH, BCSN2) in a MLS interconference showdown. A look at the L5 meetings reveals (CLB 2-0 SJ, SJ 2-0 CLB, SJ 1-1 CLB, CLB 1-1 SJ, SJ 1-1 CLB) reveals not much but a deeper handicapping dive shows us there have been 6 Draws in the L9 meetings with the Home team unbeaten (3-6-0, 14 GF-5 GA), translating to a potential Travel issue here.

And we also see there have been 6 straight Unders and 7 in the L8 in games averaging just 1.63 gpg. Math. She’s your friend, sister. With 7th-place San José (6-4-1, 14 GF-11 GA at Home) sitting just 1 point away from the Playoff cutoff line, the 2nd Half of the season underway and Justin Meram (9 goals), Federico Higuaín (9 goals) and the Crew (3-18, 12 GF-25 GA on Road) so far away from home playing a Defense-minded team, looking at backing Jahmir Hyka (3 goals) the hosts -- especially on Root Beer Float Night -- and the Under seem like the logical picks here on Saturday.

Final Score Prediction: Earthquakes 1, Crew 0Free MLS Picks: Earthquakes +116, Under 2½Best Line Offered: Bovada

 

New York Red Bulls at NYCFC, Sunday

David Villa (14 goals) and 3rd-place New York City FC (11-4-7, 40 GF-31 GA) play host to Bradley Wright-Phillips (11 goals), Daniel Royer (10 goals) and the 4th-place New York Red Bulls (5-3-9, 24 GF-38 GA) at Yankee Stadium in The Bronx on Sunday in the Hudson River Derby. There have been 8 meetings between NYCFC (7-3-1, 24 GF-13 GA at Home) and RBNY (4-0-6, 12 GF-17 GA) -- who have been feast or famine away from Harrison, NJ so far this 2017 MLS Regular Season -- with no Draws having been played and the Red Bulls winning 6 and NYCFC winning 2. And 5 of the L6 Hudson Derby’s have resulted in Clean Sheets (shutouts) for the winners.

Here it’s a matter of All-Star Villa, Jack Harrison (8 goals) and NYCFC (37 points) getting Yangel Herrera back in the midfield, having grown more as a Soccer club and wanting to protect its Home sacred turf and not let the Red Bulls (35 points) leapfrog them in the Eastern Conference standings. NYCFC won the last meeting here, 2-0, on July 3, 2016, meaning the L3 meetings were all played at Red Bull Arena (RBNY 0-2 NYCFC, RBNY 1-0 NYCFC, RBNY 4-1 NYCFC).

Final Score Prediction: NYCFC 2, Red Bulls 1Free MLS Picks: NYCFC +102 Over 2½Best Line Offered: Intertops
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