With 10 games left in EPL, Man City are still chasing Chelsea hard, but can they catch them? Premier League expert Lee Phelps is looking at the betting to find the best odds for his free pick.
The Premier League relegation picture is hotting up and a real betting heat and we should see some excitement in the race for Champions League qualification, but my hopes that the ‘blue horse race’ would go to the wire look unlikely.
Chelsea and Manchester City’s financial clout mean they will be contesting the Premier League title for years to come and with the addition of Jose Mourinho it was clear they would not be far away this season. I always though City’s players, if not their fans, would have more of an eye on the Champions League this season. While that hasn’t paid dividends (yet) it does seem to have affected their domestic form, having gone out of both cup competitions and trailing the London blues by five points having played a game more.
Of course nothing is guaranteed so let’s see what they remaining 10 or 11 games hold for the best two teams in England.
The champions have home games against West Brom, West Ham, Aston Villa, Southampton and QPR. I can see them taking maximum points from those matches. Away from home Manchester United at Old Trafford is their toughest away game, with Palace, Burnley, Swansea and Tottenham making up the five remaining road trips.
The maths are simple for City they need Chelsea to drop six points (if they are not going to rely on goal difference again) and they must win all 10. Their rivals have dropped 18 points so far this season in their 27 games, so realistically accounting for one defeat by City Chelsea would have to drop half of that total again in their final 11 matches.
It’s fair to say Mourinho’s men have the harder run-in, with home games against four of the top six away defences in Southampton, Manchester United, Liverpool and Stoke, while away from home they face relegation threatened teams. Whichever way you cut it, I honestly can’t see Chelsea losing three games or even losing two and drawing three.
Add to all that the fact John Terry and Co have the best defence in the division and you have a team who have experience, skill, goals and the best manager in the business.
It’s boring but I’m struggling to make a case for anything other than a Chelsea Manchester City straight forecast. The second favourite soccer pick is actually Chelsea Arsenal, with Manchester City Chelsea third in the betting.
The bookies obviously think it’s more likely City will get worse than win virtually every game and Chelsea fall off. I don’t think that will happen though. City do have a habit of finishing strongly and I think they will push until it is mathematically impossible.