Norway (3-0-1) vs. England (4-0-0)
Thursday, June 27, 3:00 PM EST
Soccer Odds: Norway +250, England +110, Draw +230
Free Soccer Pick: England +110
Recommended Sportsbook: Bet365
Norway’s path to the quarterfinals
Norway, ranked No.12 in the world, finished second in Group A behind France with a 2-0-1 record that included scoring six goals and conceding three goals. They opened their campaign with a 3-0 victory over Nigeria. In the second round, they lost to the hosts France 2-1 but then went on to close the group stage with another narrow 2-1 victory over South Korea. In the R16, Norway knocked out Australia in a right thriller. After settling on a 1-1 draw in regular time, the two nations played to a scoreless draw in extra time. Finally, Norway outshot the Aussies 4-1 in penalties to advance. Australia had finished second in Group C with a 2-0-1 mark, scoring eight goals and conceding five. On paper, Norway had a relatively tough matchup in the R16.
England’s path to the quarterfinals
England, ranked No.3 in the world, finished atop Group D with a 3-0-0 mark that included scoring five goals and conceding just one goal. They opened with a narrow 2-1 victory over Scotland, and then continue their rich vein of form with a 1-0 win over Argentina and a 2-0 win over Japan. In the knockout stages, the Lionesses eliminated Cameroon 3-0. To be fair, they had a relatively easy R16 matchup against one of the four best third-placed teams in the competition. Cameroon had gone 1-0-2 in the competition, scoring two goals and conceding five. Norway, therefore, represents their first real test in the competition.
World Cup Outright Market
To get a sense of how these two teams stack up, the outright win market is helpful. As it stands, Norway is a longshot at +2500 to lift the trophy. England, by contrast, is fourth overall favorites at +700 to win outright. By these soccer odds, it’s clear England are the favorites in the eyes of bookmakers over Norway in the overriding competition, and, in turn, the side most expect to advance into the semis.
Match Betting Preview
Of course, things are never as straightforward at this stage of the competition. England might be considered the better team but Norway can’t be overlooked. Indeed, it’s a tight soccer betting line on offer across sports betting platforms. Norway is at the disadvantage at +250 to win straight up, but England is hovering just inside plus money at +110 to win straight up while the draw is tipped at +230.
The way the market sets up this matchup, soccer bettors can well expect an upset. It’s not beyond the realm of possibility. Norway has been solid throughout the competition, despite losing one of their group matches. That said, if there were a downside to Norway’s campaign, it’s their late-game breakdowns. They’ve conceded three goals in the final 20 minutes (this includes Australia’s tying goal that sent the R16 clash into extra time and then penalties).
England has played some impressive football and has won all four matches, which means confidence will be in high supply. They have the ability to get past Norway, but it won’t be easy.