Soccer Money Line Pick for Premier League's Aston Villa vs. West Brom

Nikki Adams

Monday, March 2, 2015 8:41 PM GMT

We serve up our soccer picks keeping in mind that Aston Villa are without a win in their last 7 Premier League games. Can they snap the negative trend when they host West Brom on Tuesday?

Aston  Villa In Dire Straits
Tim Sherwood's tenure as Villa manager is off to a grim start as Aston Villa succumb to a second straight defeat under his command at St. James Park, seventh straight overall in English top flight. The sight of Sherwood stalking the sidelines had a touch of deja vu about it, a familiar sight that harks back to 2009 when Alan Shearer, tasked with a similar challenge of preventing Newcastle United's inevitable demotion, met with failure. Ironically, a 1-0 defeat at Villa Park at the time sealed the Magpies fate and they slid into Championship.

Sherwood still has eleven games left on the season, but with Aston Villa continuing to display all the signs of a comatose club at the foot of the table avoiding relegation is looking less likely with each passing round. The sheer magnitude of the task before him more daunting with each passing round. To put a finer point on it, Aston Villa's Soccer Odds to be relegated by season end have shortened from +125 (ahead of match day 27) to +100 this week at Bet365.

The need for points couldn't be greater than it is with Aston Villa sat in 19th place behind a 5-7-15 mark and 22 points, but with just three points in their last 12 games, which puts them at the bottom of the league's form table, they are undoubtedly exhibiting all the signs of a team destined for relegation.

As it is, they are three points from safety, or to close the gap on Sunderland in 16th place with 25 points. Those are fine margins yet. Needless to say, if they continue their pointless run of form that gap will start to resemble and impassable gulf sooner rather than later.

Check out another handicapper's pick for Aston Villa vs. West Brom here.

West Bromwich Albion Look To Heap More Misery on Aston Villa
With Aston Villa effectively boasting a 0% winning ratio, West Bromwich Albion have to fancy their chances at Villa Park on Tuesday, despite their absurd soccer odds. You can back a West Brom win at +210 or thereabouts at online sports betting shops.

West Bromwich are a decidedly ordinary side. Unlike Aston Villa, they are safely inside the middle of the Premier League table, in 13th place with a 7-9-11 mark and 30 points. What's more, they are enjoying a solid run of form with 16 points in their last 12 games and nine points in their last six games behind a 2-3-1 mark. Most recently, they are after a confidence boosting win at home over top-of-the-table Southampton. On the road, they are undefeated in their last five games with a 1-4-0 record in all competitions.

Since Tony Pulis took over the West Brom job at the turn of the New Year, the Baggies have sparked to life and, in turn, their season has galvanised. When once they were staring down the barrel of Championship football,  they are now looking ahead to almost certain top flight survival (they are currently matched at whopping +3300 Premier League soccer odds to be relegated with the prospect dwindling with each passing week).

Pulis is a master at saving top-flight teams with a proven track record of success. If there is one aspect of the Baggies under Pulis that is most impressive is defence. They are enjoying a run of four games with clean sheets, seven altogether in their last ten games.

 

Soccer Betting Verdict
Given the contrasting fortunes of these two sides in the league, it's somewhat surprising that a beleaguered Aston Villa is trading at +163 to win outright while an in-form West Brom is trading at +210 to win outright. In no uncertain terms, it stands in stark contrast to the current reality. There's absolutely no depiction in which Aston Villa emerges as the value Soccer Pick. If home advantage is behind this favourable outlook, it's a moot point. They last won at home on December 7 when they beat Leicester City 2-1. Since then they've gone 0-3-3 at Villa Park which includes three straight losses.

West Brom have confidence right now, which makes them the likelier side to take maximum points. It doesn't hurt that they strike an attractive pose as the +210 soccer pick. Soccer bettors that fancy hedging their bets can cover both the West Brom win or draw result in double chance betting at -200.

Soccer Picks: West Brom +210 at William Hill

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