Soccer Betting: Copa América Centenario Semifinals Futures Odds

Sunday, June 19, 2016 3:00 PM GMT

Let’s take a look at the matchups for these Semifinals, the Futures Book Odds heading into this final four and make some picks for Tuesday’s and Wednesday’s matches.

Four fairly predictable teams have made it to the Semifinals of the Copa América Centenario this year, including the host nation, the United States who will face Lionel Messi and Argentina on Tuesday night at NRG Stadium in Houston in the tournament’s first Semifinal, followed by James Rodriguez and Colombia taking on Chile at Soldier Field in Chicago on Wednesday night in the second one.

 

Final Four Teams Now Set For the Copa América Centenario Semifinals
On Tuesday night, the first of the two Copa América Centenario Semifinals will be held with the tournament’s host nation, the United States, facing the electric Lionel Messi and Argentina at NRG Stadium in Houston (FS1 Fox Sports GO, Fox Soccer 2GO USA, fuboTV, Univision (US), Premier Sports (UK); 9 p.m. EDT/6:00 p.m. PDT) in what should be a thrilling affair and a chance for many North Americans to actually get to see the 28-year-old native of Rosario, Argentina get to play live on US soil—that is if Texas still actually considers themselves a part of the union. On Wednesday night in the Windy City in the Copa’s second Semifinal, James Rodriguez and Colombia will play Arturo Vidal and Chile at Soldier Field in Chicago (FS1 Fox Sports GO, Fox Soccer 2GO USA, fuboTV, Univision (US), Premier Sports (UK); 8 p.m. EDT/5 p.m. PDT), so we will have three South American (CONMEBOL) and one North American (CONCACAF) team in these Semifinals after Chile snapped Mexico’s 22-match unbeaten streak on Saturday night with a 7-0 battering as Edson Puch (16’, 88’), Eduardo Vargas (44’, 52’, 58, 74’) and Alexis Sánchez (49) all scored for La Roja at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California on Saturday night as El Tri went with a semi-surprise starting GK in Guillermo Ochoa. Yes, it was 7-0. El Tri? Now they cry. No más de Copa de fútbol para usted, señor Chicharito.

The two Semifinal winners will meet in the 2016 Copa América 2016 Final on Sunday, June 26 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (Fox Sports 1 USA, Fox Soccer 2GO, Fox sports GO, fuboTV, Univision Deportes USA, Univision USA (US), Premier Sports (UK), 8 p.m. EDT/ 5 p.m. PDT) with the Third Place game set to be held at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona on Saturday (Fox Sports 1 USA, Fox Soccer 2GO, Fox sports GO, fuboTV, Univision Deportes USA, Univision USA (US), Premier Sports (UK), 8 p.m. EDT/ 5 p.m. PDT).

 

Futures Book Odds to Win Copa América Centenario 2016
Argentina -150 (Paddy Power)
Colombia +550 (Betway, BetBright)
Chile +375 (Betfair)
USA 11/1 (Coral)

 

Copa América Semifinalists Form Guides (FIFA World Rankings)
Argentina—WWWWWW (1)
Colombia—WWWWWLD (3)
Chile—LLLWWW (5)
USA—WWWLWWW (31)


 

USA vs. Argentina, NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas, 9 p.m. EDT/6 p.m. PDT
Lionel Messi and Argentina cruised into the Copa América Quarterfinals, winning Group D by going 3-0-0 against opponents (Chile-Panama-Bolivia), outscoring them 10-1 in the process en route to Saturday’s Quarterfinal meeting with Venezuela at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts. GK Sergio Romero, Center Back Víctor Cuesta and have only allowed 2 goals in the Group Stage and now this Knockout Stage, the two coming on a José Pedro Fuenzalida score deep into stoppage time (90’+3) in a 2-1 win over Chile in their group opener on June 8 at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, and in this past weekend’s aforementioned Quarterfinal game against Venezuela where Salomon Rondon scored for Venezuela to temporarily make it a 3-1 game at the 70-minute mark before Erik Lamela answered for argentina less than a minute to make it (the eventual Final Score of) 4-1 with his second goal in as many games. Gonzalo Higuain (8’, 26’) had the first two goals for Argentina while magician Messi scored at the 60-minute mark to give La Albiceleste an insurmountable 3-0 lead against an overmatched Venezuelan side. The Weather Forecast for this first Semifinal in Houston on Tuesday night from TWC is calling for Clear Skies, a Low around 75° with SSE Winds of 5-10 mph and 80% Humidity. So, save for the high H-town Humidity, perfect Weather.

With the USMNT (+550, Bet365; Draw +333) missing three MF’s in Jermaine Jones (Colorado Rapids), Bobby Wood (Union Berlin), Alejandro Bedoya (FC Nantes) due to Yellow Card accumulation, expect Messi (Barcelona), Higuaín (Napoli)—now favored over Sergio Agüero (Manchester City) at the starting Striker spot by Argentina Manager Gerardo Martino—Lamela (Tottenham Hotspur), Ezequiel Lavezzi (Hebei China Fortune) and Argentina (-200, Bet365) to control the Time of Possession and set a fast, Over-like pace with Messi the obvious centerpiece playmaker. Why have chocolate if you’re not going to eat it? The Americans still have Clint Dempsey (Seattle Sounders), Gyasi Zardes (LA Galaxy), Chris Wondolowski (San Jose Earthquakes) and others who can score some goals, but getting the ball and keeping may be hard for this CONCACAF side against a CONMEBOL side which not only is currently ranked #1 by FIFA, but also may have the best player in the history of the sport still and who is still in his prime not only scoring goals, but assisting on them. So the US public will get another first-hand look Argentina (1½ Total Team Goals, Over -187, Betfred) and the legendary Messi (54 goals in 109 games for Argentina) and his brilliance and Little Lionel will likely not disappoint, still seeking a major title with La Albiceleste. This match also looks like a good one in which employing the Asian Handicap (Argentina -1½ +140, Ladbrokes might also be wise.

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Predicted Final Score: Argentina 4 USA 1
Free Soccer Picks: Argentina -225 (William Hill), Argentina Over 1½ Total Team Goals -187 (Betfred), Argentina Asian Handicap -1½ +140 (Ladbrokes), Over 2½ -150 (Paddy Power)

 

Colombia vs. Chile, Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois, 9 p.m. EDT/6 p.m. PDT
Colombia (as well as Peru) had just 1 Shot On Goal in its Quarterfinals win against a very gritty and defensive Peru side in a game which ended 0-0 after 90 minutes—cashing for Draw bettors in the 3-way marketplace—and then eventually seeing Colombia win in a Penalty Kick Shootout, 4-2, as both sides hit their first two, and then Peru missed its L2 to get knocked out the hard way—with only one player on the pitch—in the Knockout Round (Quarterfinals) at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey on Friday night. So now Colombia and GK David Ospina (Arsenal) get to face GK Claudio Bravo (Barcelona), Arturo Vidal (Bayern Munich), Alexis Sanchez (Arsenal) and Chile—defending Copa América champions—in a monster South American showdown and a matchup between two teams FIFA has in its Top 5 (Columbia #3, Chile #5). The thought here is the Chilean attack force will be just too strong for Ospina and Colombia and that even with players like James Rodriguez (Real Madrid; Anytime Goalscorer +280 (Betfair), Carlos Bacca (AC Milan; Anytime Goalscorer +200 (Betfair) and Juan Cuadrado (Juventus), Colombia could have trouble getting a decent number of shots on target and in Bravo, Chile has a better GK here than Gunners-backup Ospina. If they flow like they have, Chile could have 2 goals on the scoreboard by Halftime and it is the more (Offensively) Confident team heading in here, with Columbia frustrated after being stifled by Peru and will be thinking too much in the first 45 minutes of play here.The Weather Forecast for Chicago on Wednesday is currently calling for Scattered Showers-Thunderstorms (40% Chance Rain), a Low of 68° with E Winds of 5-10 mph.

Before the 0-0 Draw and PK shootout Win and advance against Peru, Colombia’s L6 major international competitions (COL 2-3 CRC, COL 2-1 PAR, USA 0-2 COL, COL 3-1 HAI, COL 3-1 ECU, BOL 2-3 COL) saw a total of 27 goals (5.40 gpg) having been scored with 4 games going Over a Total posted at 2½ and 5 of the L7 La Tricolor (major) matches have been played in the United States. So, even though the 0-0 Peru scoreline with two total SOG by both sides, this could be a matter of Colombia chasing a Chile (Chile To Score ‘Yes’ -242, 888Sport) team early on after a La Roja goal in the first 22-32 minutes of play—possibly from that 4-goal scoring (against Mexico) man Eduardo Vargas (Anytime Goalscorer +229, Paddy Power)—on Lake Michigan (Soldier Field) in Chicago where both the Chilean and Colombian fan bases should be pretty well well represented. Vaya con Confianza (Confidence).

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Predicted Final Score: Chile 3 Colombia 1
Free Soccer Picks: Chile +164 (888Sport), Over 2½ -162 (888Sport), Chile To Score ‘Yes’ -242 (888Sport), Eduardo Vargas Anytime Goalscorer +229 (Paddy Power)

 

Conclusions: Fear and Loathing in Timekeeping and Leo Messi Just Too Good
From a betting perspective for this tournaments, remember these two game could go directly to a Penalty Kick Shootout as in the Copa América Quarterfinals and Semifinals, there is no 30 minutes of Extra Time played and that Injury Time added on at the end of both halves has probably been around 35%-40% of the actual time players have been treated for (real or fake) injuries, as was the case in Friday night’s Colombia-Peru affair where at least 5-6 minutes of nothingness happened on two major stoppages but only 2 minutes was added to the 1st Half, with the Referee blowing his whistle around the 1:49 mark (of the light 2 minutes). So in essence, less Soccer is actually being played in some of these games, a good thing theoretically for Unders if it were a consistent patterns and teams like Argentina and Chile weren’t involved. Could Soccer possibly get stopwatches and accurately tabulate (at least close to) the number of real Seconds actually wasted in these episodes? Probably not, so soccer picks buyer beware with that particular reality which is something that truly frustrates many who bet on the beautiful game.

Even though the Argentina-US match is being played on North American (US) soil, the game doesn’t care and even though this time around Clint Dempsey (Anytime Goalscorer +375, Betfair) and the USMNT theoretically have the Home Site and Crowd advantage in this tournament Copa América Centenario, Chile (6/1 opening soccer odds to win Copa América, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook; Feb. 22, 2016) and Argentina (9/4 opening odds to win Copa América, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) both just look too good and are both are healthy heading in.

With the 28-year-old Messi, the oft-underappreciated magician Ángel Di María (Paris Saint-Germain)—who is still recovering from an Abductor injury but available to Martino—Higuain and others on the attack in its way and three players unavailable, the road looks like it stops here for the hosts and GK Tim Howard (Colorado Rapids) with a probable all South American Final at MetLife Stadium in the not-too-distant future (Sunday) between two current World Football giants with two loaded Rosters and two solid Goalkeepers.