Soccer Betting: Champions League Rundown On Your Top Favorite Matches

Nikki Adams

Monday, March 14, 2016 7:50 PM GMT

Monday, Mar. 14, 2016 7:50 PM GMT

Champions League R16 wraps up this week with four ties remaining to be decided. Join us as we rundown through the intriguing matchups and serve up choice soccer picks for your betting thrills.

Champions League R16 Second Leg Odds
The deciding round of the Champions League R16 ties gets underway on Tuesday, four fixtures on the week’s card remain to determine the complete quarterfinal line up of Europe’s grandest club competition. Real Madrid, PSG, Benfica and Wolfsburg are already through. Which four teams will join this quartet?

Here we look at the match betting markets trading across sports betting platforms, rundown through the soccer odds, analyse the ties and serve up choice soccer picks.

Matchup

Home

Draw

Away

Atletico Madrid vs. PSV

-333

+450

+1200

Man City vs. Dynamo Kiev

-175

+333

+550

Barcelona vs. Arsenal

-400

+600

+1100

Bayern Munich vs. Juventus

-225

+375

+700

 

Atletico Madrid vs. PSV
Atletico Madrid enter the second leg of their tie with PSV firmly favoured on the Champions League odds board, but the Eredevise leaders will fancy their chances after withstanding Atletico with just 10-men in the first leg. Indeed, the tie is far from decided after the pair settled on a scoreless draw and all it would take is an away goal by PSV to throw this tie off kilter.  

Diego Simeone’s Atleti are currently second in La Liga and riding a four-game winning streak in domestic action, which includes back-to-back 3-0 wins at the Vicente Calderon and has them improving to a nigh stellar 10-3-1 mark at home. Delving into the stats further, Atleti have allowed the fewest goals in Spain (12 in total and just 6 at home). Defending is without a doubt their strong suit, earning them the reputation of being one of the best physical and defensive sides in Europe. It’s probably the main reason why Atleti are favoured at hefty -333 soccer odds to win outright.

Still, even though the Dutch side will have all to do to crack this formidable backline, they just might. In fact, what if they somehow find a way to do it? Atleti failed to take an away goal despite having the man advantage on the field in the first leg and thus the tie is precariously perched scoreless. Should the unthinkable happen, well Atleti would be on the back foot. That very real possibility alone makes Atleti’s soccer odds to win outright rather rich for our blood. It also makes PSV’s +1200 soccer odds to upset the hosts a bit disingenuous.

To put it simply, this tie could go either way. Atletico should win, but it’s best to avoid money line markets all together and look at the Asian handicap. Pinnacle is offering a 1.5-point handicap which offers the best angles for profit in our opinion. Take PSV Eindhoven at +1.5 (-108) and the UNDER 2.5 at -125 at bet365 for what is sure to be another low-scoring affair between these two sides.

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Free Soccer Pick:  PSV Eindhoven +1.5 and and UNDER 2.5
Best Line Offered: at Bodog

 

Man City vs. Dynamo Kiev
Manchester City are up 3-1 to Dynamo Kiev, looking all but through to the quarterfinals for the first-time in club history. That is, unless the Ukrainians can mastermind the biggest upset of the competition and reverse the crippling deficit. By the soccer odds, it’s a hallucinatory bet on your soccer picks at +550. Or, is it really? Consider Atleti vs. PSV is sitting on a scoreless result after the first leg but the Dutch are trading at more than double the soccer odds to win a tie that looks a whole lot more winnable than Dynamo’s tie with Man City. Should we assume, therefore, that the market is suggesting a win by Dynamo Kiev is not entirely out of the question?

Actually, it isn’t out of the question. Dynamo could win this tie but still fail to advance into the quarters, making a soccer pick on the visitors not so unreasonable after all. Last season,   04 lost the home leg to Real Madrid 2-0 but returned to win 4-3 at the Bernabeu. It wasn’t enough to upset Real but it certainly was quite the statement to make. Dynamo could prove a worthy soccer pick at +550.

Let’s face it, they have nothing to lose and everything to gain now. They need to score at least three goals at the Etihad to take the advantage on aggregate, so they’re sure to look for opportunities to attack. It wouldn’t surprise us to see a flurry of goals therefore in this game, underlining our recommended soccer pick for the OVER 2.5 goals at -135 at Heritage. For those braver soccer bettors, the Greek is offering a nice alternative option with the OVER 3 at +120.

Man City have some wiggle room with the two-goal advantage and three away goals in the bank, which might make them a touch complacent in this fixture. Indeed, they’ve been awfully complacent in just about every competition lately – tanking in FA Cup and leaking points left and right in Premier League. With recent form so alarming we’re reluctant to splash the cash on the Citizens as a result. They might be in the driver’s seat of this tie but they still need to motor across the finish line.

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Free Soccer Pick: OVER 3
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Barcelona vs. Arsenal
Barcelona have the commanding 2-0 edge over Arsenal in their R16 tie, comprised of both a two-goal edge and two away goals. Arsenal must score at least three away goals to reverse the tie in their favour, which is a pipedream against, arguably, the best team in the world right now; not to mention, the defending champions. In all likelihood, Barcelona are a sure soccer pick to win outright at the best current price of -390 at Pinnacle.  Another thing that appears to be a near certainty by the way the markets are trading is the notion of a goal-fest at Camp Nou. Most sportsbooks are offering a total line of 3.5 on this fixture. One has to consider with all the offensive baubles on both sides of the coin, the 3.5 total could be breached. Certainly, we can count on the Catalan Giants to come up with most of those, all while entertaining their adoring fans and giving them more to cheer about.

Yet, as mentioned above, Schalke 04 rolled into the Bernabeu last season to take the 4-3 win in the second leg of their tie with Real. It didn’t turn the tie in their favour, but they did still upset the soccer odds. Arsenal could potentially win this game in similar fashion, which is a handsome soccer pick at the ridiculously tempting +1161 soccer odds (the highest current price) at Pinnacle. It’s not as if the Gunners haven’t done so before, won away legs against the odds. And the more we think on it, the harder it is to let such soccer odds go begging without a tickle. Keep in mind, Arsenal can win this tie but still fail to advance into the quarterfinals.

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Free Soccer Pick: Arsenal +800 and OVER 3.5 
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

Bayern Munich v. Juventus
The tie between Bayern Munich and Juventus is poised delicately on a 2-2 score after the Italians rallied to erase Bayern’s quick start and level the score. Now, with all to play for and the tie still very much up for grabs, the market is conspicuously tipping the game in the hosts’ favour. After all, they’ll have home edge to bank on as well as the advantage of two away goals. That and the fact that they are notoriously tough to beat at the Allianz Arena. Juventus, though, showed a lot of grit and determination in the first leg, underlining why they sailed into the final last term. It was no fluke and they’d like nothing better than to pull off a similar feat this season. Still, doing it at the expense of Pep Guardiola and Bayern Munich is a tough ask. All things being considered, Bayern Munich look a decent price to win with the best current money line odds of -214 trading at 5Dimes.

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Free Soccer Pick:  Bayern Munich -216
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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