Smart Moves For ATP US Open - Betting Analysis & Free Picks

Joao Mourato

Monday, August 29, 2016 4:01 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 29, 2016 4:01 PM UTC

Join us on our ATP US Open main draw analysis. We'll take a closer look to both halves of the draw, as well as the highest value tennis bets for you to place on this event.

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Top Half of the Draw
The defending champion, Novak Djokovic, is once again the main favorite to leave New York with the title. After a disappointing first round loss in Rio de Janeiro against Juan Martin Del Potro, Djokovic decided to withdraw from Cincinnati in order to present himself at 100% on this event.

Looking now to Djokovic’s draw on this event, the Serbian starts his campaign against Jerzy Janowicz. Even though Jerzy is a former world no.14, the Polish is currently outside top 200 after several physical issues and for that reason, Djokovic shouldn’t experience any troubles on his debut.

On the following rounds, Djokovic might face two players who already defeated him in the past – Jiri Vesely and Mikhail Youzhny. However, neither of these should have the required consistency to create any problems to the Serbian.

Djokovic should face his first real test in the 4th round against John Isner. The American is never an easy opponent to face, especially on US soil yet, it seems unlikely to see Isner maintaining the required consistency on his serve to defeat Djokovic in a best of five sets match.

After winning the Western & Southern Open in Cincinnati, Marin Cilic is now looking for another successful campaign in New York – where he won the title in 2014. However, it wasn’t a very fortunate draw for Cilic, who might face Djokovic in the quarterfinals. Despite the high quality level presented by Marin in Cincinnati, the match-up with Djokovic is a nightmare for the Croatian, with Novak leading on the h2h by 14 – 0.

Looking now to Djokovic’s potential opponents in the semifinals, Rafael Nadal and Milos Raonic are the highest candidates. Even though Nadal’s recent improvements, Raonic is going through a terrific moment on his career and with that in mind, our suggestion is for you to add the Canadian to your betting picks to win the 2nd quarter at +188 at Coral.

Despite Raonic’s terrific form, Djokovic’s defensive skills seem to be too much for Raonic to handle and as it happened in all their previous seven meetings, we should witness another victory from the world no.1.


Bottom Half of the Draw
Despite his loss in Cincinnati’s final against Cilic, Andy Murray reaches this event full of confidence after some outstanding results in recent months. The 2012 US Open champion is the highest ranked player on the bottom half of the draw and this seems to be a great opportunity for him to reach his third career final in New York.

Looking now to Andy’s draw on this event, the British shouldn’t experience any problems until the fourth round, where he might face Grigor Dimitrov. These two have featured some remarkable battles in the past, with Dimitrov winning three of their previous nine encounters – including one triumph in Wimbledon 2014. However, Andy is currently at a much higher level and for that reason, he should get the job done in three or four sets.

Another high quality contest is expected in the quarterfinals against Kei Nishikori yet, Murray clearly holds the edge over the 2014 US Open runner-up with a 7 – 1 lead on h2h. With this in mind, is highly unlikely to see Nishikori surprising the world no.2 in a best of five sets match.

Despite his poor results in recent months, Stan Wawrinka is known for performing at his best on Grand Slam events with a terrific 71.26% winning record in Majors while his overall winning record is 64.11%. Therefore, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of Stan’s betting odds to win the 3rd quarter at +300 at Coral.

After their recent meeting in Roland Garros’ semifinals, Murray and Wawrinka might face once again at that stage in Flushing Meadows and as it happened in Paris, Andy should be too strong for the Suisse.

With this in mind, we believe that Djokovic and Murray should face once again on a Grand Slam final and for that reason, we recommend you to place a bet on the following market: Name the Finalists – Djokovic & Murray +125 at Bet365.

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