Singapore WTA Tour Finals Tennis Picks: Williams vs. Halep

Nikki Adams

Saturday, October 25, 2014 7:02 PM GMT

Saturday, Oct. 25, 2014 7:02 PM GMT

It’s down to a rematch between Serena Williams and Simona Halep at the Singapore WTA Tour Finals.  Can Halep repeat her shocking win of the group stage or will the American prevail this time? Find out what tennis odds are currently available and which side of the coin presents value tennis picks.

Road to the Final
By all accounts, the Singapore WTA Tour Finals is a smashing success. One of the best instalments of the prestigious year-ending tournament in recent memory, the Top 8 ladies in the world invited to this exclusive round robin showdown rising to the occasion and delivering some of the most compelling contests of the season. After many close encounters, upsets and top-notch tennis, it’s whittled down to the last two players standing, Serena Williams and Simona Halep. Who will be crowned champion?

Serena Williams enters the final as the hot favourite at -225 tennis odds to beat Simona Halep, matched at +163 tennis odds. A tennis-betting outlook that is in tune to the pre-tournament futures odds we’d previewed at the start of the week, and that is underscored by Serena’s resume as a proven champion as well.

Serena is the two-time defending champion, seeking her third straight title and fifth overall. Simona Halep is making her debut at this event, a first-time invitee to this exclusive circle of the best in the women’s game. Yet, instead of being overwhelmed as one might expect of a debutant, the diminutive Romanian showed a brilliant sense of occasion, powering through the group stage to not only qualify for the knockouts but also win her group outright behind the tournament’s biggest upset, a win over the two-time defending champion.

So the pressing question before us: Can Halep pull off a second straight victory over Serena Williams to claim the biggest title of her career and a huge prize purse of $1,804,000. Or will Serena get her revenge and deliver on her favourable tennis odds? Some would argue vengeance is the greatest motivator. If that is the case, we could be in for a final to remember. A tennis-betting delight to close the season on with aplomb.

 

Serena Williams -225
It was an up-and-down tournament for Serena Williams contrary to expectations of bookies, pundits and experts alike. Serena Williams entered the competition as the top favourite at +150 future odds to win outright, but almost didn’t make it into the knockouts, largely down to a shocking 6-0, 6-2 defeat to Simona Halep in the group stage, one of the worst defeats of the American starlets career since 1998, not to mention wholly convincing for her opponent.

In the semis, Williams was pushed to the brink by Caroline Wozniacki, her so-called bestie on the WTA Tour. Wozniacki tested the American in a gruelling three-setter that was decided narrowly in a third-set tiebreaker. Serena lost the first set 2-6 before launching a come-from-behind win that saw her win the next two sets 6-3, 7-6 (6). It was a mentally and physically challenging match for the 33-year-old, and without doubt it was one of the best matches of the season in the ladies game. Indeed, Serena Williams was quite fortunate to win at all.

Simona Halep +163
Simona Halep got her WTA Tour Finals debut off to the best possible start, beating Eugenie Bouchard and Serena Williams convincingly. Although she lost to Ana Ivanovic in the third round of group action, she’d done enough to secure top spot in her section. In the semis, she advanced with a straightforward win over Agnieszka Radwanska 6-2, 6-2 in just 67 minutes.

 

Tennis Betting Verdict
Given Simona Halep proved her worth as a tennis-betting underdog by beating Serena Williams in the group stage, she’s earned serious consideration as the value tennis pick in this highly anticipated contest. Clearly, she can’t be underestimated. What’s more, she’s not exactly priced out of the market for the upset, her nominal +163 underdog odds reek of reasonable probability for the upset. That is telling.

Of course, it’s one thing to beat Serena Williams in the early rounds of a tournament, completely another to best her in a final.  She’s one of the toughest players to beat when the stakes are high; hence, her firm tennis odds of -225 to win outright.

It’s worth noting that Serena played her worst match in a long time when she lost to Halep – lethargic, unfocused and committing a whole slew of errors, she was in poor form. Serena backers will hope she punches at her weight class this time to win. She can be backed at +120 to win in straight sets and at +250 to win in three.

That said, many avid tennis bettors are relishing this contest, not only for its outcome at this event but also for its potential for far-reaching consequences if the Romanian does pull off the unthinkable. Halep played a great match to beat Serena. She’s the real deal, worth backing for the upset on your tennis picks at +163, if not to push the match to the brink. Halep to win 2-0 is matched at +350 and to win 2-1 is matched at +400 at Bet365.

For our money, while we do concede Serena Williams is the logical tennis bet, the instinctive tennis bet that the tennis betting public would lean towards, and the most likely tennis bet to cash, we’re of a mind to go against the grain. Chalk it to optimism, hope for a changing of the guard  on the women’s front, a desire for something symbolic that would shake up the WTA establishment and set us up for an exciting, unpredictable 2015 in tennis betting.

Tennis Free Picks: Simona Halep to win at +163; in three sets at +400 at Bet365.

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