Shanghai Rolex Masters Tennis Picks & Odds to Win Outright

Nikki Adams

Monday, October 6, 2014 12:22 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 6, 2014 12:22 PM UTC

Bidding for his 3rd straight title at the prestigious ATP 1000 event, tennis bettors are wondering if anybody can deny Djokovic the hat-trick. We serve up our top outright bets for your tennis picks.

Shanghai Masters’ Sixth Year
The Shanghai Masters, the biggest tennis betting event on the Asian swing, enters its sixth year, all while two-time defending champion Novak Djokovic looks to become its all-time title leader with a third straight victory. Djokovic headlines a stellar draw that boasts all top ten players, not to mention two-time former champion Andy Murray (2010 and 2011) who’s down to World No.11. With such a stellar cast of contenders in attendance, the penultimate ATP 1000 event on the season is a must-see event, sure to deliver some standout matchups, stellar tennis picks and, surely, even several sensational upsets.  

Outright Win Betting
Odds makers have rolled out a comprehensive tennis betting market on the Shanghai Masters, complete with outright win odds, to win quarter odds, match-betting odds, and much, much more. We’re going to assess the outright win odds currently available and serve up our a) top tennis picks to reach the quarters along with outside picks for each quarter and b) our overarching top tennis picks to win outright.

First Quarter
To look at the draw is to immediately notice it’s top heavy, with the bulk of the contenders contained within the first two quarters. Novak Djokovic, who is matched as the firm favourite at +138 to win outright, spearheads the first quarter, which also contains Andy Murray (fourth favourite at +900 to win outright). Djokovic and Murray could potentially collide in the quarterfinals – Djokovic is matched as the prohibitive favourite at -300 to win the quarter while Murray is the second favourite, but distantly so at +300 tennis odds.

Interspersed amongst these two proven champions at the Masters level are several dangerous floaters comprised of veterans, journeymen and ATP newcomers. David Ferrer (+4000 to win outright and +1200 to win the quarter), Kevin Anderson (+12500 to win outright) and Jerzy Janowicz (+15000 to win outright) make up some of the veterans to spot, while Sam Groth and Dominic Thiem are a couple of players that make up the other two categories respectively.  Anyone of these players could potentially mastermind an early upset. Most tennis bettors however are leaning towards Djokovic and Murray emerging in the quarterfinals, based on current form. They recently collided in the Beijing semis: Djokovic won 6-3, 6-4 over Murray, en route to a title winning 6-0, 6-2 victory over Berdych in the final.

Quarterfinal Tennis Picks: Djokovic and Murray to reach the quarters; outside tennis pick Ferrer to reach quarters.

Second Quarter
Roger Federer leads the second quarter as the top favourite to clinch this section at -125; he’s also the third overall favourite at +600 to win outright. Contained in his corner however are some standout rising stars such as Grigor Dimitrov and Kei Nishikori, the latter of which is after back-to-back title wins in Kuala Lumpur and Tokyo, not to mention a runner-up finish at the US Open. Nishikori is a reasonable tennis pick to win this quarter at +275 given his 2-2 head-to-head record over Federer, which includes a 1-1 record this season. To win the tournament outright, he’s a bit of a long shot tennis bet at +1800, a price tag underscored by an arduous schedule since the US Open that one has to wonder how much gas he’s got left in the tank. Grigor Dimitrov matched at +450 to win this quarter (+2800 to win outright) could throw a spanner in the works in this section, as could several other dangerous floaters such as Vasek Pospisil and Bautista Agut.

Quarterfinal Tennis Picks: Nishikori and Federer to reach quarters; outside tennis pick Dimitrov to reach quarters

Third Quarter
The third quarter is wide open with Berdych and Stanislas Wawrinka (both matched at +1400 to win outright) flanking opposing ends and US Open champion Marin Cilic (+250 to win the quarter and +1800 to win outright) sandwiched in between the pair, along with temperamental Fabio Fognini (+20000), dogged Gilles Simon (+15000) and streaky Richard Gasquet (+8000) all contained within. Frankly, anyone of these players could win this quarter, as could a completely unheralded player not mentioned here. Berdych is the likeliest choice because he has form right now. Yet we can’t shake the feeling that the crushing defeat to Djokovic in the Beijing final may have lingering effects. So we’re going to be more adventurous with our tennis picks for this section.

Quarterfinal Tennis Picks: Cilic and Wawrinka to reach quarters; outside tennis pick Fognini to reach quarters

Fourth Quarter
Rafael Nadal made his belated return to action last week in Beijing where he reached the quarterfinals. Match rust and lack of competitive play since Wimbledon saw Nadal upset by Martin Klizan. Odds makers aren’t putting much stock in that result, sending Nadal into this ATP 1000 betting event confidently as the second favourite at +500 to win outright. Nadal is also the firm favourite at -150 to win the quarter. Milos Raonic flanks the opposite end, listed at +220 to win the quarter and at +1600 to win outright. The Canadian is coming off a third-straight runner-up finish in Tokoyo (l. to Nishikori).  Also contained in this section are dangerous floaters John Isner and Ernest Gulbis, both matched at +900 to win the quarter and at +6600 to win outright. Instinctively, Nadal is the top tennis pick to win this quarter. He won’t have it easy with several big servers in his path, but he’s notorious for working his way into tournaments and top form.

Quarterfinal Tennis Picks: Nadal and Raonic to reach quarters; outside tennis pick Gulbis to reach quarters.

Tennis Betting Verdict: Djokovic has dominated this penultimate ATP 1000 Masters event, making him the popular tennis pick at +138 to win outright. Rafael Nadal has never won this event, which equates to motivation. He’s always a contender and if he works his way into the tournament at +500 he could prove the value tennis pick. This top tandem usually proves their worth at this level, making them the best tennis picks to consider on your wagering ticket. For outside bets to consider: look towards Roger Federer at +600, Andy Murray at +900 or Kei Nishikori at +1800, all of which strike the most attractive and convincing poses of the lot.

Tennis Free Picks to win outright: Djokovic +138 or Nadal at +500; or each way bet on both at Pinnacle

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