Sevilla vs. Valencia Soccer Betting Picks

Mike Richardson

Thursday, February 13, 2014 2:27 PM GMT

Thursday, Feb. 13, 2014 2:27 PM GMT

There’s lots of money to be won over in Spain this coming weekend when Valencia take on Sevilla. Join our Humble Handicapper as he looks at the soccer betting odds to find the value picks for this Spanish League match-up.

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Let’s get straight to the chase with this one. Looking at the last five meetings between these sides all but one of them have gone the home side’s way, the one time that these two haven't conformed to form is when Sevilla were 2-1 victors back in February 2012. That time it was a repeat of the same scoreline from the previous month when the sides met in Sevilla. A repeat of that score (a decent shout as three of the last five have been decided by a single goal) is at best soccer odds of +850. However, if you think that Valencia will get revenge in the same manner the odds are +1100.

And…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Sevilla are the bookies favourites to win this game. The best soccer odds on a Sevilla win are +114, and the bookies fancy a draw (at +240) before they fancy a Valencia win at +260. Your Humble Handicapper agrees with the bookies on this one.

The last five meetings between these sides have seen 19 goals that’s very nearly four per game, and we’ve only seen one clean sheet in that run. 19 goals over five games averages out to just about 2-2 which is offered up by the sportsbooks at +1400. However, your Humble Handicapper doesn’t think this game will end honours even.

Breaking down the 19 further we see that Valencia have 10 and Sevilla have nine (goals) spread over the five games. Yes I know that means that it should be a 2-2 draw, but take it from me…it won’t be.

We will see a winner.

These sides haven’t drawn a game since before January 2012. If you must back a draw in your soccer picks, go the whole hg and back both halves being drawn at +500. But if you want to make even more (fantasy) money look at Sevilla being on top at the half time break and then the game ending drawn which is at +1500 or indeed Valencia winning on the 45 and then the game ending drawn at the 90 at +1700,

Do I need to reiterate that we will see a winner and the winner will be Sevilla. The Half time / Full time soccer odds like Sevilla and the draws more than they like Valencia. In fact Sevilla winning both halves runs as low as +240, but more interestingly the game being drawn on the 45 and Sevilla’s on the 90 is at +450. Valencia winning both halves is at +550, which is the fourth most likely (oddswise) with the sportsbooks.

Prediction: Sevilla win at 3-1 at best soccer odds of +1600 with Ladbrokes.

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