Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Soccer Picks: Play on Top Scorer as Teams Odds Are Unconvincing

Lee Phelps

Friday, February 27, 2015 3:57 PM GMT

Would the real Atletico Madrid please stand up? This week they go to Sevilla and the betting has them as the favoriites. William Hill's Lee Phelps isn't convinced by the odds and has a goal scorer as his free pick.

If anyone can predict Atletico Madrid at the moment can you tweet me please! I was convinced they were a good bet at Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League this week, but they failed to score and lost by a single goal.

They also lost to Celta Vigo two games ago, meaning that highly impressive 4-0 win over Real Madrid was virtually worthless, because the ground they gained has been lost again. This you might want to keep in mind when looking over the soccer betting odds.

Sevilla lost to Real Sociedad in a seven goal thriller and can’t get any consistency going themselves.

Both teams have been in Germany this week, with Sevilla travelling to Borussia Mönchengladbach on Thursday night for their Europa League tie.

 

Sevilla
There isn’t any cast iron proof whether the extra day’s rest helps a team, but it’s a fair assumption that you would rather be back home on the Thursday, as opposed to arriving back in Spain in the early hours of Friday morning, with only Saturday to train.

The home form is exemplary with their last defeat in any competition coming on March 13th 2014 against Real Betis in the Europa League. Their last loss in the league was to Barcelona over a year ago.

The record reads nine win and three draws this term, although the top three are still to visit and that all starts this weekend with Atletico. So can they protect the only unbeaten home record in La Liga?

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Atletico Madrid
There really isn’t too much to be worried about by the impending visit of Diego Simeone and his players. They have one win in six away from home and have looked shaky defensively, comparatively speaking. Their goals haul isn’t that impressive either on the road with 16 in their 11 games leaving them as the sixth best scoring side in the division.

They come up against the league’s joint best defence with just seven goals conceded.

One area Atletico does have the upper hand is in the head-to-heads, they are 10 unbeaten against Sevilla and I can see them going for a win here against a team who loves to attack. Madrid has only failed to score in two of their 11 games and have only kept clean sheets against the poorer teams in the division.

 

Soccer picks
If I’m correct and we get an open game with a few goals, the price on Carlos Bacca to score anytime is too big. Sevilla’s top scorer has 14 goals so far and is priced at 3.3 (23/10) to score in front of his home fans, so back him with your soccer picks.

Free soccer pick: Carlos Bacca anytime 3.3 (23/10)

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