Serie A Soccer Picks: Inter Milan vs. Lazio

Mike Richardson

Tuesday, May 6, 2014 6:28 PM GMT

When Inter Milan take on Lazio, the gods of gambling can only see one winner, and that’s your Humble Handicapper. You can join him in his money winning ways if you just keep on reading. This is one of those games where you already have a sneaking suspicion as you who will take the points, so let’s get right down to brass tacks.

Enough with not wasting time…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?
The sportsbooks have Inter winning this one at best soccer odds of 10/11. The draw is at 13/5, and Lazio winning is at 3/1. What's more, the bookies have the shortest correct score odds on a 1-1 draw at 6/1, but they then follow that up with three Inter wins 2-1, 1-0 and 2-0 before a goalless draw and then Lazio winning 2-1 is at 12/1.

To review my most recent soccer pick covering Juventus vs. Roma, click here.

So... Long story short, Inter are going to win this one.
Inter have 57 points after 36 games, they’ve also scored 57 goals and conceded 36. That gives them the (joint) fourth best goals difference, which is 19 goals better than Lazio’s +2 goal difference.

Lazio are 10th in the Serie A table on 53 points, putting them six points clear of 11th place Atlanta, tied on points with 9th place Verona. Inter are four points behind 4th place Fiorentina, but are just two points clear of Torino.  There is still one game left to played over in Italy after this round, so there is still plenty to play for both teams.

Inter have had quiet the chequered run of late, they’ve won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five. What’s more their last game was a 1-0 defeat at the hands of AC Milan and they haven’t won a match since their 2-0 victory over Parma back in mid-April.  Looking at their last four games, when Inter win they tend to win to nil (2-0 against Parma and 4- against Sampdoria). Oddly enough both those games were away games. The last time Inter played at home, they filed to find the back of the net – but also kept a clean sheet.

Lazio are on a scoring run at present with 12 goals in their last five games, over 2 per game on average. However, your Humble Handicapper is feeling a little reckless, and reckons Lazio’s free scoring run is due to come to an end.

Therefore, don’t back both sides to score at 4/7, but do back Inter to win to nil at 9/4. You can also make some dosh with your soccer picks by backing Inter to win both halves at 7/4, despite the fact that if you look at their last four meetings with Inter they have lost them all, and have been outscored 8-2. Inter are due a win, and a clean sheet.

 

Free Soccer Pick: Inter win 2-0 available at best soccer odds of 10/1 with William Hill.