Serie A Soccer Picks: Fiorentina Holds Favorable Spot in Decisive Clash Against Lazio

Nikki Adams

Friday, March 6, 2015 1:26 PM GMT

Friday, Mar. 6, 2015 1:26 PM GMT

Lazio and Fiorentina are set to collide in a pivotal top-of-the-table Serie A clash on Monday that has potentially far reaching consequences. Here's a primer on this clash complete with soccer picks.

La Viola Loom Large
Fiorentina may be the underdogs at +300 on the Serie A soccer odds, but you can bet there is no side Lazio will want to play less than La Viola, who are riding the crest of a wave of form that is comprised of a 13-game winning streak, including a gauntlet throwing win over Juventus in Coppa D'Italia.

La Viola sprung a surprise on the Old Lady in the first leg of their Coppa D'Italia semi-final tie on Thursday, taking the 2-1 win at Juventus Stadium and a significant edge back to Fiorentina for when the hostilities resume next month. All hail Chelsea cast-off Mohamed Salah, who scored the brace that lifted Fiorentina to the improbable away win and, in turn, handed Juventus their first home loss in two years.

The Egyptian opened the scoring in the 11th minute when he singlehandedly outmanoeuvred  the defence and rifled a shot into the top far corner. Then, in the second half, after dispossessing Claudio Marchiso, he carried the ball into the area and tucked away his second goal of the day, which marked his seventh goal in six appearances for La Viola since coming over on loan from Chelsea. Just like that, a 47-game unbeaten streak in Turin went poof.


Lazio Notional Favorites
Lazio enter their clash with Fiorentina as the notional favorites on the soccer odds board, matched at +100 to win outright. At first glance, this market stance appears to make sense. Lazio are fourth in the table, just two points behind Napoli and a point ahead of Fiorentina, and on track for a potential Champions League spot by season end. As well, they have home advantage for this game, which is underscored by an 8-0-4 mark this season at the Stadio Olimpco and includes 23 goals netted and just 13 conceded.

Upon closer inspection, though, this favorable outlook appears rather overzealous. Not only do the soccer odds overlook Lazio's recent flirtation with fallibility, but also they blatantly ignore Fiorentina's undeniable form. Distinctly wavering in recent weeks, two of Lazio's four defeats are a 1-0 loss to Genoa on February 9th and and 1-0 loss to Napoli on January 18. And, most recently, they are after a 1-1 draw to Napoli in the first leg of their Coppa D'Italia semi-final tie. In fact, since the New Year, the Biancoceleste have failed to string together a match-winning streak at home. Instead, they've oscillated between a win and a loss in their last five Serie A games. If this trend holds true, they are due a loss after beating Palermo 2-1 in round 25 of Serie A betting.


Soccer Betting Verdict: Back On-Form Fiorentina at Tempting Soccer Odds
Both Lazio and Fiorentina will look to win this pivotal clash and take all three points. As it is, only a point separates them in Serie A, so ascendance is almost certainly on the table. Consider the Serie A implications of this game, what's at stake and how each side's respective form is shaping up right now, you half expect this to be a tighter soccer betting market. Instead, lo-and-behold, the odds makers roll out a lopsided soccer betting line that leaves us baffled. It would be churlish of us to carp about the reasoning behind these soccer odds. Suffice it to say, as the soccer betting market currently is, Fiorentina at +300 practically leap off the page as the value soccer picks.


Soccer Picks: Fiorentina +300 to win at Bet 365

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