Serie A Soccer Odds & Pick: Juventus vs. Chievo Verona

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, January 21, 2015 5:36 PM GMT

Italy is the site of this Week 20 Serie A game between host and league leaders Juventus and Chievo Verona in a match in which the talented home team looks like a pretty solid soccer pick.

Odds Overview
Juventus vs. Chievo Verona, Sunday 14:00 (beIN sports USA/beIN SPORTS CONNECT (US), ESPN UK/HD (UK), 9 a.m. ET/6 a.m. PT): First-place Juventus (14-4-1, 42 GF-9 GA) welcomes 17th-place Chievo Verona (4-6-9, 14 GF-22 GA) to Turin, Piedmont and Juventus Stadium on Sunday for this Week 20 Serie A match between one team probably looking at repeating as Italian top flight champions and another potentially fighting off relegation. Soccer odds have made host Juventus rude -600 favorites on the Three-Way (Winner) odds marketplace (bet365) with visiting Chievo Verona huge +1800 (18/1) underdogs and the Draw priced at +600. The Total Goals odds for the match is 2½ Over -162 (Under +125, bet365) while the Both Teams To Score prop bet Yes priced at -200 (No +150, Sky Bet). The Draw No Bet odds for the two teams are Juventus -6600 and Chievo Verona at +1400 (William Hill) with the To Win To Nil bet (for Juventus) priced at -137 in this game (Paddy Power) .

 

AC Chievo Verona
Chievo Verona (3-2-4 Road, 7 GF-10 GA) sits just two points (18) above 18th-place Cagliari (16 points) and the relegation zone in 17th place and il Gialloblu have actually performed much better on the road (11 points) than they have at home so far this season where they have just 1 win heading into this Week 22 kick. With just 14 goals in 19 games, head coach Rolando Maran and Chievo Verona will have to pick it up offensively in the second half of the Serie A season and get some scoring from other places than the Yellow-Blue’s top three goal scorers: Alberto Paloschi (4 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +450, Sky Bet), Sergio Pellissier (4 goals, +500) and Riccardo Meggiorini (2 goals, +550). Here at Juventus on Sunday, potential Chievo Verona goalkeeper Albano Bizzarri (5 CS) will really be up against it versus the Old Lady and all of her expensive and dangerous firepower and the total number of shots as well as the total number of shots on target may end with Juventus holding at least a 3-to-1 advantage. And when a club averaging 0.74 gpg plays a club with one of the best goalkeepers in the planet and a club which has allowed only 9 goals in 19 games, expecting that goal-allergic team not to score is isn’t bad starting point for a number of potential bets.

 

Juventus FC
Juventus (4-2-0 Home, 25 GF-5 GA) has picked right up where it left off last season and may have a little stronger roster this time around and the Bianconeri are still proudly representing the Italian league in the UEFA Champions League. Juventus and manager Massimiliano Allegri has captain Andrea Pirlo (2 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +240) back after a knee injury and an incredible deep and strong attack force which includes Carlos Tevez (13 goals, -175), summer-signee Arturo Vidal (6 goals, +100), the electric Paul Pogba (5 goals, +125), Fernando Llorente (4 goals, +110), Sebastian Giovinco (+175), Claudio Marchisio (+175), Álvaro Morata (4 goals, +110), Stephan Lichtsteiner (2 goals, +400) and Giorgio Chiellini (+500). Juventus’ world-class goalkeeper is Gianluigi Buffon and, as mentioned, the 26-year-old Italian national may not face too much action here at home against overmatched Chievo Verona although Buffon is sure to be tested with quality shots at least twice throughout the 90+ minutes in Turin. In their last game, the Bianconeri rolled to a 4-0 victory over Hellas Verona here at home as the prolific Tevez scored twice and midfielder Pogba and Roberto Pereyra (+450) each scored once as Juventus (46 points) extended its lead over second-place AS Roma (12-5-2, 41 points) to 5 points.

 

Series Trends and Best Betting Approaches
Juventus is an unbeaten 8-3-0 in 11 lifetime matches against Chievo Verona (24 GF-12 GA) here at home at Juventus Stadium and the Old Lady is 16-6-1 overall (43 GF-20 GA) against the Yellow-Blues in 23 meetings. The last time these two played was in Serie A play earlier this season at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi in Verona where Juventus and Buffon blanked Chievo Verona 1-0 and took home all three points courtesy of a Cristiano Biraghi own goal. The last time these two teams met here at Juventus Stadium was last season and Juventus rolled to a 3-1 win and the only time Chievo Verona defeated Juventus was Week 20 in 2010 when il Gialloblu won 1-0 at home. So, a Chievo Verona win here would be a monumental upset at the +1800 price as an underdog reveals the disparity between these two clubs headed in. This one could get ugly.

In its last game, Chievo Verona rallied in the second half to tie Fiorentina at home in Verona, 1-1 on a Pellissier goal before losing to Viola late, 2-1. Il Gialloblu did manage to get off 17 shots against Fiorentina in that Week 19 fixture, with 7 of those shots being on target, but playing the stingy Juventus defense and goalkeeper Buffon at home is a different animal and 5 shots on target would probably be a lot for the guests. Expect Tevez and Pogba and Llorente and Giovinco to wreak havoc for the Old Lady and this is one of those games where the favorites could go over the posted Total all by themselves and are probably the best soccer pick on with a proposition bet like the proposed To Win To Nil one below or possibly in the Asian Handicap marketplace and laying either 1, 1.5 or 2 goals with host and league leaders Juventus if you’re feeling strong.

 

Prediction: Juventus 3 Chievo Verona 0

Free Soccer Pick: Over 2½ -163 (bet365), Juventus To Win To Nil -137 (Paddy Power)

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