Serie A Picks & Betting Tips for Roma vs. AC Milan

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, April 23, 2014 3:22 PM GMT

Serie A serves up a clash between Roma and AC Milan in week 35. With soccer odds already in full swing across sportsbooks, find out where the value soccer picks are to be had as we analyse this intriguing matchup.

Roma’s Title Hopes Hanging By A Thread
Roma’s title hopes are hanging by a thread (to put it generously), eight points adrift of league leading Juventus. As things currently stand, futures betting markets are still open on the Scudetto race with Roma listed at +3300 to win outright. But with Juventus listed as the runaway favourites at -20000 favourites to win outright, the open book is just a symbolic gesture. Fact is Juventus have the title practically sewn up.

Roma are sat in second place with a 25-7-2 mark and 82 points through 34 laps. They have a substantial lead over Napoli (on 68 points) but trail Juventus by a seemingly insurmountable eight points, with just four games left on the season and a potential 12 points up for grabs.

There’s a legitimate argument to be had about whether Roma should concede defeat. After all, Juve still need the points to mathematically win the Scudetto. But for now, until it’s official, Roma’s focus has to be on putting forward their best account possible, no matter how improbable it may seem. There is a difference between losing the title by a country mile or just a match win or two.

 

AC Milan’s Turnaround
A few months ago, AC Milan were sinking faster than the Titanic in Serie A. But, all of sudden, they are back afloat, and steaming towards an unlikely European spot. Somehow, against all the odds and the club’s glaring problems from top to bottom, AC Milan have orchestrated a turnaround. 

AC Milan are currently sat in seventh spot but level on 51 points with Parma (sixth). They are 14-9-11 on the season, a mark improved drastically by a six-game undefeated streak – a draw followed by five consecutive wins, which marks their best run of form this season.

Granted, they beat mostly lesser opposition during this stretch. The exceptions being a 2-0 win at Fiorentina and a 1-1 draw at home to Lazio. But winning begets confidence and that’s something that can’t be downplayed or ignored.

Take a Look at the Serie A Betting Futures

Roma vs. AC Milan Betting Tips and Picks
It should come as no surprise that Roma have this match cornered across sportsbooks. But had this matchup occurred a few months back, when AC Milan were mired in crisis, their soccer odds would have probably been much shorter than their current price tag of -125 to win outright. Still, this should take nothing away from Roma or discourage those who are tempted to back them to the win on their soccer picks. Underscoring their favourable odds is an overall eight-game winning streak ahead of their date with AC Milan. As well, a home record that remains without a defeat on the season at 14-3-0.  By all accounts, Roma should win this match handily, especially if they are still hanging on to the hallucinatory hope of winning the Scudetto.

That AC Milan have bounced back is an encouraging sign for their loyal fans and backers. At the very least, it sets up a rather intriguing affair against one of the league’s top set. But AC Milan will have all to do to mastermind the upset, a fact evinced by their hefty +333 soccer odds. Roma have proven to be difficult to beat at home. What’s more, AC Milan’s road record is nothing to write home about at 5-5-7 to date, despite the recent upsurge in form, which includes a draw and two wins on the road.  Then again, they have Europe in their sights and that could prove to be a catalyst for something special by the Rossoneri, if not on the outright win then perhaps the draw, which is matched at +260 soccer odds at Bet365.

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Soccer Betting Verdict
For our money, we quite fancy Roma to win outright at -125 simply because they have been consistent at the Stadio Olimpico and because where this matchup is concerned they have the edge on paper. That said if you are of the opinion that an upset is on the horizon instead of taking AC Milan at their tempting (but risky) +333 soccer odds, look to the double chance result on your soccer picks, either Roma or Draw at -450 or AC Milan or Draw at +105.

Soccer Free Picks: Roma to win outright at -125