Serie A Betting: Inter Milan vs. Napoli

Nila Amerova

Thursday, April 24, 2014 5:57 PM GMT

A top of the table clash features on the Serie A betting menu when Inter Milan host Napoli. Find out what soccer odds have gone to press and what soccer betting verdict we’ve lined up for your consideration.

Napoli: Being third best
After a strong start to their campaign this season, Napoli are left with little to show for it. Early exits from Champions League (group stage) and then subsequently Europa League (R16) have marred their season, and a dramatic collapse in the Scudetto race has rendered them significantly inferior to the top tandem of Juventus and Roma.

Save for a cup final in Italy that will be decided on May 2 against Fiorentina, Juventus are very close to a trophy-less season. As such, some would have it an opportunity for redemption after relinquishing the Scudetto midway through the season. Winning it would be a way of salvaging some respect for being a faraway third best in Serie A. Not to mention there is some smug satisfaction to be had in scooping up one of Italy’s coveted prizes right from under Juventus. The Turin side who already won the Super Cup and look to have the Scudetto wrapped up would have happily swept up all Italian silverware this season if given the chance.

Even though the title is now the exclusive province of the northern Italians, the business of the season must be attended to and Rafa Benitez will be looking to carry his boys to a strong finish. In fact, only a few weeks ago, they set about making such a statement of intent by beating the title favourites Juventus 2-0 at the San Paolo in Napoli. Although, Gli Azzuri dropped the ball in their subsequent match with Parma, losing 1-0 on the road, they bounced back with a convincing 4-2 win over Lazio and stretched their undefeated run to two straight with a 1-1 draw at Udinese.

Overall, Napoli are 20-8-6 on the season with 68 points through 34 laps. They boast a 3-1-1 mark in their last five domestic fixtures (both home and away) and they are 2-2-1 in their last five away fixtures. But they are without a win in their last two, since beating Catania 4-2 on the road. A happenstance that probably has played some part in their rather disadvantaged +210 soccer odds to win outright at the Giuseppe Meazza.


Inter Milan’s so-called market edge
Inter Milan enter their upcoming date with Napoli at the advantage, albeit a smidge over even money at +125.  By the league’s standard, Inter Milan are enjoying a so-so season with a 14-14-6 mark and 56 points – a staggering 34 points adrift of Juventus. As far as the table is concerned however, they are inside the Top 6 and potentially headed for European action next season. Some consolation is better than nothing.

Still with four games left on the schedule and Parma and AC Milan nipping at their heels five points behind, it’s too soon for Inter to be taking anything for granted. They still need the points to mathematically secure their berth.

Recent signs however are somewhat concerning as I Nerazzuri are without a win in their last three home fixtures. Even more concerning, they’ve dropped points against lesser opponents in Atalanta (a 2-1 defeat) and Udinese and Bologna (on back-to-back draws).

Napoli present a tricky obstacle. Certainly, trickier than their last few visitors were as their road form of 9-4-4 is almost just as good as their home form of 11-4-2. While Napoli have had their fair share of disappointments lately (and on the season) the Southern Italians are a still a classy side, fighting for every point left on the season regardless of whether it amounts to anything or not. To underestimate Napoli would prove costly.

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Soccer Betting Verdict: The way the market is cast there is value on both sides of the coin. The home win is listed at a tempting +125 to win outright at Bet365 while the away win at rather massive +210 soccer odds is even more tempting; both possible within the realm of probability.

Inter Milan’s home form has been patchy of late but altogether modest this season, including positive results in their clashes with the top set. Juventus flew the coop on a draw while Fiorentina succumbed to a 2-1 defeat. Only Roma have beaten Inter Milan at home. So Inter have room for optimism and, as such, we wouldn’t discourage those that are looking to back the hosts at +125 on their soccer picks. For our money however Napoli’s odds are more appealing. At rather generous +210 soccer odds, they are just begging to be taken advantage of, especially given Gli Azzuri’s overall form this season and road form.

Soccer Free Picks: Napoli to win outright at +210; Over 2.5 at -143