Sept. 3rd Tennis Picks for US Open WTA Quarterfinals

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, September 3, 2014 1:55 PM GMT

Preview the tennis betting action available in today’s quarterfinal action as it features hot favourites Serena Williams & Victoria Azarenka fighting for a spot in the semi-finals. Will the favourites come through on their odds or will the US Open deliver more upsets?

Serena Williams -1200 vs. Flavia Pennetta +700

Tennis Betting Analysis
Serena Williams enters her quarterfinal clash with Italy’s Flavia Pennetta as the prohibitive tennis odds favourite at -1200 to win outright. Serena backers will find no value in those odds, not unless they have silly money to splash. In any event, better value is had in backing Serena to win in straight sets at -350 tennis odds or, better yet, in three sets at +350.

Serena has yet to make a quarterfinal of a Grand Slam this season, which is a rare occurrence in her case. It’s up to tennis bettors to decide whether that failing merits consideration or whether her pursuit of an 18th Grand Slam title at the US Open this week categorically outweighs any concerns about her lack of major success this season might give way to.

At any rate, most tennis bettors are probably going to consider only the quality of her opponent Flavia Penneta first and foremost. Pennetta, who is a seasoned veteran and former top ten player, has never won a major title. In fact, she only just won her maiden premier title earlier this season in Indian Wells. What’s more, she’s never beaten Serena Williams and only ever took one set off the American in five meetings.

This doesn’t mean Pennetta isn’t a good player. On the contrary, the Italian has a lot to recommend her in the game. Some of which include guile, experience and doubles skills, all of which are going to have to be sharp if she’s to mastermind the biggest upset of the tournament. The US Open has shed seeds like a grass-seeder this season, dropping all top eight seeds, save for Serena, out of the tournament before the quarterfinal round, a development that has only happened twice in the history of the game. Problem is the odds are really stacked against Pennetta at +700 to mastermind the upset. Heck, even taking a set off Serena is going to be a feat. Backing Pennetta boils down to how sentimental you are willing to be with your tennis picks.

 

Tennis Free Picks
This has been the most unpredictable US Open in recent memory so tennis bettors can’t rule out any eventuality. There’s a feel good aspect to the notion of a player of Pennetta’s ilk – a hard worker and grinder on the WTA Tour – winning. From a viewers’ perspective, it would be brilliant if the pair delivers a competitive three-setter that could go either way (Pennetta to win in three at +1400 or Serena to win in three at +350) – not unlike Sara Errani’s shocking win over Venus Williams. However, it’s more likely than not that Serena Williams will win her quarterfinal clash with Pennetta convincingly. Simply put, Pennetta doesn’t have the weapons to hurt Serena.

Tennis Free Picks: Serena to win in straight sets at -300 or three sets at +350

 

Victoria Azarenka -125 vs. Ekaterina Makarova +100

Tennis Betting Analysis
Victoria Azarenka finished runner-up to Serena Williams in two straight US Open finals, even beat the great American champion in Cincinnati last year. But few considered the Belarusian on their outright tennis picks at the start of the tournament. It wasn’t a secret Azarenka was struggling on form and fitness after suffering a foot injury earlier this season. Disappointments during the US Open series just validated those concerns further. Yet the Belarusian has worked her way into match fitness and form under everybody’s radar at the US Open to reach the quarterfinals. She’s two match wins away from a US Open final, her third in three years.

Standing in Azarenka’s way is Ekaterina Makarova, a Russian lefty that took down Eugenie Bouchard – the eye-catching tennis pick amongst most tennis bettors to win the competition proper— in the fourth round, and also took down, together with her doubles partner Svitolina, the Williamses in doubles today.

Makarova justifiably strikes a tempting pose at +100 to beat the favourite Azarenka (priced at -125). When the Russian is on, she can be quite dangerous and lethal. To her credit, she has a win over Serena Williams at the Australian Open a few years ago.

 

Tennis Betting Verdict
Azarenka has the experience at this level, which makes her the smart tennis pick at -125. But one can’t write off Ekaterina Makarova, who is enjoying a US Open run to remember in both singles and doubles. By that same token all that match play and the emotional upheaval that follows a giant-killing spree could take something out of her. If anything could work in Makarova’s favour it’s Azarenka’s fitness and form, which aren’t quite at 100%. That allows the possibility Makarova to win a set at least, if not the whole match.

Tennis Free Picks: Azarenka -125 to win outright, in three sets at +275 at Heritage Sports