The Scottsdale AZ Open will take place this week at Talking Stick Golf Club and we bring you a complete betting analysis for this event.
Scottsdale AZ Open
May 12-14, Talking Stick Golf Club
Par 70, 7133 yards
This week, the Scottsdale AZ Open is analysed and the quality of the field has been improved significantly because of entries from PGA Tour winners, Nate Lashley and Kevin Streelman. To add more kudos to the tournament, there is Joel Dahmen, who despite being winless on the PGA Tour looks the most progressive player of the field in 2020 with back to back 5th place finishes, last time out on the PGA Tour at the Genesis Invitational and Arnold Palmer Invitational. The $125,000 purse means we have strength in depth this week with promising youngsters Calum Hill and Dylan Wu along with German veteran, Alex Cejka leading the way. The Outlaw and Golden State Tour supply many of the 156-players with several Korn Ferry Tour regulars also playing.
The Scottsdale AZ Open has been played four years at Talking Stick Golf Club which is helpful when analyzing this week’s contenders. The course is a short par 70 but by no means a pushover with an average winning score of circa 10 under par over the 54-hole event. With Ben Crenshaw being one of the designers means approaches into the greens need to be strategic and varied, meaning the aerial assault is not the only way to approach the crowned Bermuda grass greens.
Will the PGA Tour stars be sharp enough to win this week?
I think it’s doubtful that Kevin Streelman will be sharp enough to win this week despite his obvious class. Joel Dahmen, the winner in 2017 is well equipped with the course experience and did shoot a 58 at Mesa Country Club on Friday bit his price of +400 leaves little to get excited about. The most interesting player of the threesome is last year’s Rockets Mortgage Classic champion, Nate Lashley who has performed well when fresh after a few weeks off in recent years and therefore as the outsider of the three at the price of +2200 with BetOnline, he makes the appeal in the outright market.
Golf Betting Picks and Predictions
We know a couple of promising starlets who despite not yet being fully established on the main tours while impressing on the periphery, Calum Hill and Dylan Wu are sharp from recent week’s golf. Scot, Calum Hill finished 3rd here in 2018 so that experience can only help and hopefully he strips fitter this week after being slowly out of the blocks at the GCU Championship.
There is also the credentials of veteran German Alex Cejka to consider who has won twice recently at the Parker Open and Arrowhead Classic proving he has come to terms with playing well in the current isolated environment. We can expect a strong showing from the PGA Tour winner and four-time winner on the European Tour.
Korn Ferry Tour regular, Taylor Montgomery looks interesting this week at a venue as he has two top 10 finishes from previous Scottsdale AZ Open renewals. Last time he was in competition during mid-February he came 3rd at the Lecom Suncoast Classic so this week’s event in Arizona looks a preferred venue to sharpen his game.
Minor tour regulars who have been playing well in recent weeks and fancy their chances are; Colton Yates who won our banker bet last week, Nick Mason, who is a veteran of golf in the area and Hans Reimers who showed up well last week. Canadian, Riley Wheeldon has a couple of top 10 finishes at Talking Stick Golf Club and has been a model of consistency in recent weeks.
Golf Betting Picks
- Nate Lashley @ +2200
- Nate Lashley – Top 10 @ +200
Banker Golf Pick
Another Korn Ferry Tour regular, Kevin Lucas is an interesting entrant having played progressively from off the pace in the GCU Championship eventually finishing 5th. His game should be sharper this week and he is already made a strong impression on the Korn Ferry Tour with three top 10 finishes in his last twenty events. His outright price of +6600 has held up well with the American bookmakers giving the look of a small stake bet. The top 10 market is the one Kevin Lucas gives a strong look in and therefore he becomes our banker bet at a price of +400.
Banker Golf Pick
- Kevin Lucas – Top 10 @ +400
Golf Longshot Picks
The strength in the depth of the tournament means we need to consider the chances of players who have been keeping busy and with their game sharp on the Golden State and Outlaw Tour’s in recent weeks. To make things better from a punting point of view several of those players have gained important experience of Talking Stick Golf Club in recent years.
The first player to discuss is Blake Cannon who sprung to prominence last week at the Legacy Classic where a triple-bogey 7 on the 9th hole of the final round cost him an opportunity to win, however, he bounced back to finish 5th. The interesting fact about Blake Cannon is he has performed well here before in 2018 when he finished 9th with a storming last round of 65. The twenty-five-year-old from Mesa, Arizona won the NM Open in September at Paradise Hills in Ohio and has a strong look this week.
Stephen Kupcho caught my eye a couple of weeks ago with a third-place finish at the Parker Open to Alex Cejka. He has been a regular competitor in the Scottsdale AZ Open where he has performed with merit on each occasion with the best finish of 13th in 2017. Kupcho is a regular nomadic figure on the minor tours in America and last July won the $17,000 first prize at Moccasin Creek in the Western Corporate pro-am. Interestingly he beat the 2017 Scottsdale AZ Open champion, Brady Calkins, into 2nd on that occasion and all that information leads me to believe he is well suited to Talking Stick Golf Club.
Golf Longshot Picks
- Blake Cannon @ +6600
- Blake Cannon – Top 10 @ +700
- Kevin Lucas @ +6600 (Do not take less than +5000)