Scoring Stats Make Leicester City & 'Over' our EPL Soccer Pick Against Southampton

Nikki Adams

Friday, October 16, 2015 9:26 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 16, 2015 9:26 PM UTC

Southampton and Leicester City collide in week 9 of the Premier League, both looking to extend their winning form. Join us as we preview this matchup and serve up choice soccer picks.

Southampton Saints Surging
Southampton Saints are surging behind a two-game winning streak that sees them into ninth place in the table with a 3-3-2 mark and 12 points. Overall, they’ve scored 13 goals and conceded 10 in eight games. They’ll be looking to extend their positive run of form in recent weeks to a third straight win over Leicester City, arguably, the surprise package of the Premier League season.

According to current form table readings, the Saints are sixth overall with a 3-2-1 record and 11 points in their last six matches. Most recently, the Saints are coming off a 3-1 win over Swansea City at home, followed by a shocking 3-1 upset win over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge – can those still be dubbed shockers? Consider Cheslea are just god-awful this season, mired in the relegation queue (there’s something nobody thought of saying during preseason speculations!) with a 2-2-4 mark, underscored by losses to Everton, Crystal Palace and Man City to boot.

In any event, the Saints must be bolstered by that recent account in Stamford Bridge. They’ll need to be wary of the hangover effect though: it’s common after big upsets to experience a let-down.


Leicester City Holding Its Own
Leicester City were one of the sides earmarked for relegation in preseason betting markets. So far, they are defying the odds with impunity. Sat in fifth place in the league they are in contention for European spots, never mind the title as well. Only diehard Leicester City fans might have put down good money for their soccer picks on such a happenstance occurring.

Leicester City are 4-3-1 through eight rounds with 15 points. They are just three points adrift of league-leading Manchester City as well as caught up in a two-way tie with Crystal Palace in the table. A recent spate of setbacks – a draw to Stoke City (away) and a hefty 5-2 loss to Arsenal at home – saw them slip down the table. Auspiciously, though, they bounced back in the last lap with a 2-1 win over Norwich City on the road.

One of the most impressive aspects of their current form is that they are undefeated on the road with a 2-2-0 mark, which includes scoring seven goals and conceding five. And they only just suffered their first loss of the season in round 7, to a Premier League heavyweight in which there really is no shame. Where current form is concerned, they are eighth in the table with a 2-3-1 mark in their last six laps.


Soccer Betting Verdict
Despite comparable form between these two outfits, the Saints emerge as the firm -133 favorites on the Premier League odds board. Consider Leicester City are undefeated on the road this season, they are somewhat disingenuously matched at +400 soccer odds to win outright. The draw is on offers of +300 soccer odds, which also is rather large all things being considered.

Clearly, Southampton have found form after a slow start to the season that saw them go without a win in their first three games and crash and burn out of European competition. They underscored that rejuvenated form with an impressive 3-1 win over Chelsea. It’s hard not to like them as the home favorites on your soccer picks as a result.

The wily Foxes, though, do appear to be disadvantaged rather unfairly. For a team that sports just one loss on the season and none on the road, we’d have expected more competitive soccer odds for the draw at least, if not the win. It’s also worth noting that Jamie Vardy currently leads the league with seven goals and has scored in his last five Leicester City fixtures.

By all accounts, this is a game that could go either way. Both sides will come into it with confidence and purpose, seeking all three points. As such, it’s a bit of a tossup. Based on the soccer odds, we’re tempted to tickle the underdogs at +400, simply because those soccer odds are just too good to pass up. Our recommended soccer pick, however, is to take the OVER 2.5 goals because both these sides seem to have rhythm on the offensive side of the ball, scoring and conceding in almost equal proportion form game to gaSouthampton and Leicester City collide in week 9 of the Premier League, both looking to extend their winning form. Join us as we preview this matchup and serve up choice soccer picks.

Premier League Soccer Picks: Leicester City +400 & Over 2.5 -138 at Bookmaker

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