Savvyest Soccer Picks in Real vs. Malmo Champions League Showdown

Nikki Adams

Monday, December 7, 2015 7:39 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 7, 2015 7:39 PM UTC

Although the final round of Real’s Champions League group campaign is a mere formality, there are value soccer picks to be had. Find out where those are as we breakdown this matchup.

Real Madrid Group A Winners
Rafa Benitez’ side has won group A, but they’ll be looking to continue the momentum and finish strong against Swedish upstarts Malmo. If the soccer odds were any indication, they are a lock soccer pick to do just that.

At -1100 soccer odds at Bet365, they are the runaway favourites at home to send Malmo in all likelihood out of European competition (both Champions League and Europa League) on an emphatic note.    

Malmo are in fourth place in the table with a 1-0-4 mark and a slim shot at Europa league action, which rests on gaining a better result than Shakhtar Donetsk on match day 6. By the soccer odds, the chances of that are slim to none. Malmo are whopping +3000 underdogs to win outright in the Spanish capital and the draw is trading at +1200 soccer odds. By comparison, the Ukrainians are matched as the +600 underdogs in Paris with the draw trading at + 280 soccer odds.


Real Madrid’s Campaign One of the Strongest
Real Madrid have clinched top spot behind a 4-1-0 mark and 13 points, coming through as group favourites in pre-Champions League betting markets quite comfortably. Over the course of their campaign, they’ve scored 11 goals and conceded just three – the latter of which came in lap 5 of Europe’s competition as they fended off a stoic comeback by Shakhtar Donetsk in Ukraine.

Only Zenit St. Petersburg remain perfect in Europe’s top flight club competition behind a 5-0-0 SU mark. Real Madrid and Barcelona come in second after the Russian side with an undefeated mark that is comprised of four wins and a draw.

Los Blancos opened their campaign with a comprehensive 4-0 win over Shakhtar Donetsk at home and then followed with a solid 2-0 win over Malmo on the road. On match day 3, their campaign was dealt a bit of a hiccup when they  settled on scoreless draw to PSG on the road – the French side were their biggest threat in Group A and the only side that could have reasonably challenged their bid for top spot. However, on match day 4, they rectified the misstep with a narrow 1-0 win over PSG and assumed control of the group at the expense of the French champions.

In the penultimate lap around Europe’s top flight, Real Madrid faced their stiffest challenge from Shakhtar Donetsk, at a time when they were riding poor form in La Liga following defeats to Sevilla and Barcelona. The latter was a 4-0 humiliation before their fans in the nation’s capital. So it was imperative they bounce back to form with a win in Ukraine.

Things went to plan as Los Blancos reeled off four goals on both sides of halftime to take a commanding 4-0 lead. However, a lack of concentration in the last 20 minutes of the game saw the Ukrainians rally back with three goals. Ronaldo grabbed a brace and set up two more to give Real Madrid the lead and only for time running out on the Ukrainians spirited effort assured Real would finish at top group A ahead of PSG.


Malmo Almost Certain to Bow Out of Europe
It’s been a disappointing campaign for the Swedes both on the domestic and European front this season. Managing many campaigns on several fronts was probably their undoing. In Sweden, the defending champions are lagging behind in fifth place, seven points adrift of AllSvenskan leaders Norrkoping. In Europe, they’ve mustered up just a 1-0-4 mark and three points for their efforts – the lone win coming at the expense of Shakhtar Donetsk at home.

As far as Malmo are concerned, they are level on points with the Ukrainians in the competition, but trail behind significantly with a hefty goal differential. The only way they’ll clinch third place is if they gain a better result than the Ukrainians do in Paris. It’s out of their hands. Shakhtar have the edge in head-to-head and will clinch third place even if they match the Swedes on points.

Soccer Betting Verdict: As sure as the sun is to rise in the morning, Real Madrid are going to win this match. Betting on outright markets, however, offers no appeal to savvy soccer bettors. Therefore, it’s best to look at periphery soccer betting markets for this game. Take Real to win both halves at -333 soccer odds on your soccer picks, and the No for both teams to score at -150 soccer odds at Bet365. Ronaldo to score the first goal and/or last goal at +188 soccer odds is a nice alternative as well.

Free Soccer Picks: Real to win both halves at -333; No for both teams to score at -150 and Ronaldo to score first and/or last goal at +188

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